Whether Ukraine’s state officials and oligarchs always deserve our sympathy, we leave for the reader to decide — though as a nation Ukrainians have been beyond heroic. Even eastern Ukraine, its most Russian-friendly part, was not as easily cowed by Putin as Russia’s population is (and was) by the Kremlin.
Yuri Felshtinsky and Michael Stanchev
In their book, Blowing Up Ukraine, Felshtinsky and Stanchev describe the evolution of Ukraine from a corrupt Soviet republic to a nation struggling toward freedom. The authors wrote, “One could dismiss Ukraine’s extraordinary and complex evolution … as ultimately irrelevant to the world at large. But this would be a mistake. We uncover the patterns of behavior with which Russia intends to treat the rest of the world if given the chance. In addition, we show how over two decades of mounting frustration, Putin has become obsessed with Ukraine — comparable with Stalin’s mania about Poland.”
Russia’s current political leaders are almost entirely from the “armed detachment of the Communist Party”; that is, the KGB. Those who are not, are nonetheless militants that in a normal country would be considered fringe lunatics. Their democratic mimicry is a Marxist caricature of how Western governments function. The long-time head of Russia’s Liberal Democratic Party, the late Vladimir Zhirinovsky, was often heard publicly threatening Poland with nuclear weapons. The one-time Deputy Prime Minister in charge of Russia’s military industry, Mr. Dmitry Rogozin, has repeatedly threatened eastern Europe. He also wrote a forward to a book, Alaska Betrayed and Sold: The History of a Palace Conspiracy, by Ivan Mironov. In this forward, Rogozin seconded Mironov’s claim that the sale of Alaska to the United States was a betrayal. Rogozin believes in “the historical and judicial right of Russia for the return of the lost colonies, Alaska and the Aleutian islands, over which the Russian flag flew 150 years ago.”
It is not only Ukraine that Russia’s leaders want to conquer. Felshtinsky and Stanchev say that Putin’s circle have an insatiable appetite for land and plunder. Trained under the Soviet system, with Marxist-Leninist ideas stuffed into their heads, they think only of destruction and spoliation. They are not builders. These people are collectively vindictive. The best example is the bombardment of the Russian-speaking Ukrainian city of Kharkiv. The city was to be punished for opposing Russia’s 2014 invasion and annexation of Russian territory. Last year, citizens of the city huddled in their homes, trying to survive the bombardment, unable to flee because the Russians were known to attack civilian vehicles.
Having studied the Russian elite, Felshtinsky and Stanchev believe that a nuclear blackmail scheme has long been part of the plan. This is no ordinary nuclear blackmail. Perhaps it is sensational, but the authors suggest the Kremlin will use nuclear weapons for shock effect. The Russian leaders, of course, will deny responsibility for any nuclear attacks that do occur. This idea is deeply ingrained in the authors’ analysis, based as it is on interviews with oligarchs and other insiders. As this book was published months ago, there is a remarkably successful prediction found in its pages:
One look at Belarus clarifies that the nuclear stage of Operation Novorossiya has started. Unlike Ukraine, the Kremlin has successfully turned Belarus into a vazal state. Its President Alexander Lukashenko, neighbor to Ukraine and NATO members Poland, Latvia and Lithuania, rescinded his country’s non-nuclear status on 27 February 2022, three days after Russia’s invasion….
Why was this done? What was the strategic thinking behind this move? According to the authors, “Belarus never dismantled its nuclear infrastructure and can now re-arm ‘itself’ with long-range nuclear weapons as a ‘sovereign’ nation.” This is the perfect basis for the aforementioned nuclear blackmail. They write, “It is a bluff at this stage, but it is no coincidence that this very public intimidation coincides with the very public war on Ukraine. With Putin’s words, it is only a matter of time before they are much more than that.”
The Kremlin strategists want to give the future use of nuclear weapons “momentum.” According to the authors, Moscow wants to appear reluctant to deploy nuclear weapons in Belarus. With crocodile tears they will lament the wicked behavior of NATO that necessitates such measures. Belarusians “may be killed in retaliation,” say Felshtinsky and Stanchev, “but once the nuclear precedent is established, the clock cannot be dialled back.”
More recently, In an interview with Jonathon Fink in April, Mr. Felshtinsky explained Moscow’s intention to use nuclear weapons based in Belarus, so that NATO’s expected conventional retaliation would fall on Belarus instead of Russia. He added,
I am slightly puzzled by the absence of a reaction — any reaction — from Belarus. Because, again, everybody there, like state TV … discuss with smiles how they will destroy Poland and Lithuania with nuclear strikes. That’s fine, but no one is asking the question, well, ‘Aren’t they going to retaliate?’ … No one is worried, somehow.
It is understandable that Putin doesn’t care about Belarus, says Felshtinsky, but how could normal people tolerate such representations in their media? The idea, of course, of nuclear strikes on Poland, would be to interdict military assistance to Ukraine (which largely comes through Poland). In terms of this kind of insanity, Felshtinsky explained,
There are some leaders in history that are so blind with the absolutely crazy idea of destroying an opponent … in the end it damages them…. That’s what Putin is doing now with Ukraine. He is so much into this idea of taking control of Ukraine, that he basically doesn’t understand that if he isolates Russia entirely from Europe … then the only partner … might be … China.
Of course, that is not a problem when you are a closet Marxist-Leninst. The destructive dream of tearing down all that is, to remake the world and become a god oneself, has been the temptation of modernity. Men who play at being the saviors of mankind are invariably destroyers. This is a general rule which, looking back at history, is verified again and again.
Therefore, we should not be surprised if top Russian leaders, like former President Dmitry Medvedev, sound like maniacs who are ready to push the button. Putin’s right hand, Mr. Petrushev, recently gave an interview in which he sounded completely detached from reality. “It’s unbelievably primitive,” says Felshtinsky, “and stupid.”
Here we have brutality in the form of a farcical version of Stalin. one might characterize this as “all the brutality and none of the brains.” Where, exactly, do they think such a farce will lead? Do they imagine that the use of nuclear weapons will frighten the West into capitulation? In such circumstances, human nature is sorted rather quickly. While many will prove cowardly, the rest will stand up. This is how Ukraine has managed to stand. Readers should be reminded of Napoleon’s dictum that morale is to numbers as three is to one.
As they are morally empty, Russia’s leaders are led, step by step, to the nuclear option. “Trusting nuclear weapons to Belarus,” says Felshtinsky, “for them, might sound as a very reasonable way to correct the situation.”
And who are “they” in this context? Felshtinsky says that Putin is not actually a dictator, for he is beholden to a kind of Politburo. If you take Putin down, he says, you do not take the system down.
Russia is in a difficult position, of course. Europe is rearming. Russia is sanctioned. The Ukrainian Army has defeated the Russian offensive and is now pushing back. “This leads to a ridiculous situation,” says Felshtinsky. “I tell you what Putin would do. He will not say that it is Russians who are controlling these nuclear weapons [in Belarus].” Of course, Putin cannot give the weapons to Belarus without violating the nuclear nonproliferation treaty. So he has a dilemma. If Belarus cannot control and fire the weapons, who does?
“[Here] is what is going to happen next. On one particular day, he will inform the world that, you know, Ukrainians … took control of [the] nuclear weapons and fired … those nuclear weapons pretending that they are Russians to provoke a conflict between Russia and NATO. So they would never accept the blame for the strike. That is what’s going to happen next; so, again, I would say that this is extremely dangerous.
Given that Felshtinsky outlined this scenario in April, we now look back on the bizarre events of last weekend and scratch our heads. It is now acknowledge that Mr. Prigozhin, the instigator of a mutiny against the Kremlin, is in Belarus. It is reported that 5,000 of his Wagner mercenaries are headed there. On Monday Putin gave a speech in which he said Wagner mercenaries were free to go to Belarus.
Is not Felshtinsky’s scenario being engendered by Putin “allowing” the Wagner troops into Belarus?
What are we really looking at here?
I’m afriad this plan was discussed with China, as well. And I do not think that the fact that Lukashenko flew to Peking [Beijing] some time ago … had nothing to do with this. I do not think that the visit of Xi to Moscow recently, again, had nothing to do with this discussion. At least Putin announced the transfer of nuclear weapons to Belarus soon after Xi left. They mentioned something about the next hundred years of unbelievable history, which both countries should wait for. So, I think this plan was discussed.
Yuri Felshtinsky
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298 responses to “Yuri’s Insight: A Nuclear Premonition”
Ukraine is fighting for all of us now. If the war in Ukraine stops tomorrow, I don’t see how Russians and Chinese can be stopped..
There are many things we cannot see in the present.
If we are talking about the ultimate goal being the Chinese occupation of the lower 48 states and Russian occupation of Canada as well as the creation of Eurasia, then I don’t see how they can be successful.
The Russian Army and Navy use a conscripted force. They are not motivated, well trained, nor are they well disciplined. They are not professional. Russia was stopped and pushed back by the Ukraine. We have been told for decades that the Russian weapons are comparable, and in some cases superior, to western weapons but we’ve seen that just isn’t the case. A good example. in mind at least, being when Ukraine turned the Moskva turned into a artificial reef. There is no way that ship should’ve sunk from two missile hits unless it was poorly designed and built and/or the crew and their training doctrines sucked. But for decades we were told that she was an “aircraft carrier killer”, turned out two missiles sank her. Two missiles, by the way, that were developed at the same time that the Slava class cruisers were designed and built. There are many more examples that can be found to show that the Russian Army and Navy isn’t quite as advertised.
The Chinese have no military experience. Their weapons are untested in actual combat. Their doctrines are untested. The Chinese soldier is highly disciplined but is unable to think for himself. Their command and control is highly centralized and inflexible. This approach has never worked in history and it won’t work in the future.
None of this is to say that they won’t cause mass amounts of damage, destruction, death, and trouble. The folks that want to depopulate the earth are about to get their wish. Russia and China are very dangerous and evil, but they are not unstoppable. The other side gets a say in what happens too and it turns out that a good many people don’t just give up and let bad things happen to them or their families. Every war of occupation has had its share of resistance forces. I believe that the west is only asleep at the moment and not as weak as it appears.
Excellent points. I think they do have some serious advantages though. Nukes being the main one. Probabably biological weapons as well. And shear numbers as far as the Chinese go. Also the fact they have been planning, preparing, gathering intel for years.
That said, if we will turn back to the good Lord, He may allow a number of us to survive or even be victorious.
At any rate, i do not think it will be easy for them at all. They will suffer much loss.
Bobkov is an interesting person, yes. It would have been funny to “confront” former KGB leaders or soviet officials to say jokes like “How’s Comrade Shelepin doing ?” or “what kompromat did you have on Sakharov ?”. Do you know anyone who knew and read Golitsyn and who confronted a soviet apparatchik and if yes what was the reaction of the apparatchik ?
Oh yes. There is actually someone who posts here who has done it. For real, lol.
“European satellite imagery appears to show Wagner building up military base in Belarus after Russia mutiny
“The images, if confirmed, would suggest a rapid build-up for Wagner in the days after the Russian mercenary company, led by Yevgeny Prigozhin, engaged in a short-lived mutiny.”
https://www.foxnews.com/world/european-satellite-imagery-appears-show-wagner-building-up-military-base-belarus-russia-mutiny
For this to happen so fast, it had to be planned. Who can get a contractor to paint a house that fast?
La doc basically admits Perestroika Deception : https://twitter.com/upholdreality/status/1652184461302276096?s=20
Interesting. Twitter now requires a twitter account in order to access twitter links. That leaves me out.
I have an account, and it asked me for my account name and it rejected it. Strange.
Twitter is having issues and has started blocking unregistered users. https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/twitter-has-started-blocking-unregistered-users/ar-AA1dgeDK?OCID=ansmsnnews11
From what I understand, to save money, Elon shut off the API that allows you to view twitter without an account (there might also be an intent to force you to make an account so Elon can pump his numbers). Twitter messages will also no longer be searchable.
Elon has not paid his rent or any of his vendors, including google and amazon, even as he’s running amok tearing up his Twitter offices by adding bedrooms to make his H1B visa employees sleep there to keep things running.
The news value of Twitter is slowly being smothered while Elon continues to degrade its capacities, pump Russian and Chinese bots, and give the spotlight to criminals and con men spouting Russian and Chinese propaganda.
For the Twitter problem, I found that if I use my phone and click on “open the app” that appears briefly at the bottom of the screen, I don’t have to log in and it goes right to it.. On the desktop, I don’t have a fix yet.
Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki calls on NATO to deploy nuclear weapons in Poland:
https://uawire.org/prime-minister-mateusz-morawiecki-calls-on-nato-to-deploy-nuclear-weapons-in-poland
They have good reason, with Russia deploying nukes to Belarus.
Brazilian court bars Bolsonaro from running for office:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/court-votes-to-bar-bolsonaro-from-running-for-office/ar-AA1dgmjz
All eyes in Brazil on Michelle Bolsonaro as her husband’s career implodes:
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/all-eyes-in-brazil-on-michelle-bolsonaro-as-her-husbands-career-implodes/ar-AA1dh1h8
The situation in Brazil has only one solution: Divine providence, anything other than that won’t do. They closed the loop, once again.
So, conservative politicians are basically illegal in Brazil. The country is quickly becoming Venezuela, or it already is.
Report: US Close to Approving Long-Range ATACMS for Ukraine:
The ATACMS have a range of up to 190 miles.
https://news.antiwar.com/2023/06/29/report-us-close-to-approving-long-range-atacms-for-ukraine/
U.S. is considering sending cluster munitions to Ukraine, officials say:
Some human rights groups oppose the use of cluster munitions because unexploded bomblets can explode after battle and injure or kill civilians.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/us-considering-sending-cluster-munitions-ukraine-officials-say-rcna91949
The Biden Administration has been resisting pleas to send ATACMS to the Ukrainians. It would be a tremendous boost to Ukraine’s offensive power if they did.
Putin on alert with 8,000 Wagner rebels now ‘near nuclear weapons bases’:
The UK government says it is keeping a close eye on the situation as Wagner Group soldiers have been moved to Belarus and are now stationed near military bases containing nuclear weapons.
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/world-news/putin-alert-8000-wagner-rebels-30329149?utm_source=mynewsassistant.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=embedded_search_item_mobile
Cyberattack knocks out satellite communications for Russian military:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/cyberattack-knocks-out-satellite-communications-for-russian-military/ar-AA1deOAB
The facts just keep lining up.
Frightening
There needs to be a “dislike” or “not cool” button or something similar for those comments that we agree with but still don’t care for.
There seems to be an effoft to spin Wagner as some kind of indepedant rouge group in the Russian media, which is ridiculous. Creating pluasible deniability in event they get ahold of nukes? I recently talked with the Russian wife of a Us army communications officer freind, she was somehow trying to say that Wagner was semi indepedant. Baffeling.
Independence is not part of the Russian state setup.
Da. This is also the girl from Chelyanbinsk who claims her uncle is a Russian Army general. Shes an a dual citizen of Us Russia living in the US 15 years and still cant see straight. Im pretty sure she reads this board.
Ex-Russian President Dmitry Medvedev confirmed that Lech Walesa was a secret police agent : https://twitter.com/MedvedevRussiaE/status/1618286724983189506?s=20
They are just so clever, and now they are bragging.
So Jeff, if Russia somehow manages to precipitate a “minor” nuclear leak at Zaporizhzhia, or starts a “limited” nuclear exchange, which by some miracle leads to peace negotiations and not world war (lots of ifs here), as Felshtinsky has predicted, would you anticipate China picking up the mantle in 2024 and blockading Taiwan after the election? What you said about the communists limiting risk (and comparing this to cataract surgery) was interesting.
I’m honestly amazed (and quite thankful) that these communist countries aren’t all acting simultaneously— for instance, Russia launching nuclear weapons into Lithuania/Poland, Iran doing the same to Israel, North Korea likewise with South Korea, and China invading Taiwan/Japan, all within the same fortnight. I understand that this would violate the communist principles that limit risk, but can you imagine if they did this, with Biden in office? The US would be absolutely paralyzed and I’m sure any response would be chaotic. As bad as things are now, they could always be much worse.
It is hard to say what the next phase might be, but a blockade of Taiwan by China was allegedly the next step, according to Mr. Wang. Once again, they would hope to use the threat of a wider war to force us to relinquish the Western Pacific.
Have you read The Third World War by Gen. Sir John Hackett? In this speculative account of a future war, he imagines that Birmingham and Minsk will be the targets in a nuclear exchange.
I have the book, and read it long ago. But I forgot that part.
I’m no Trump fan, but I would imagine that whatever is going to happen will happen before the next elections here in the states. They have to act while we still have the current group of clowns in office.
Off-topic, but of interest: https://www.breitbart.com/latin-america/2023/06/30/bolivia-signs-away-its-lithium-a-critical-green-tech-metal-to-russia-and-china/
Not good!
Off-topic, but of interest: https://www.breitbart.com/asia/2023/06/30/china-uses-foreign-public-relations-firms-spread-communist-propaganda/
JEFF: it’s now being reported Ukrainian intelligence is warning that the Russians are preparing to blow up the nuclear plant on no later than July 5, possibly July 4, and that Ukraine and Russia are evacuating the territories in around the nuclear power plant to up to the 10 mile radius of Russian Control territory and Ukrainian Control territory, with the Ukraine government saying their order for the citizens is a “permanent evacuation”. And now the secretary of the national defense and security council for Ukraine said if the Russians do this action, then it will be viewed as it is no different than an actual nuclear bomb being used, and that the civilized world will react with force.
Russian terrorist attack on ZNPP to be considered as nuclear weapons use
https://news.yahoo.com/russian-terrorist-attack-znpp-considered-201900730.html
Yes. Russian sabotage of the plant is one of several similar operations being prepared, including against a chemical plant in Crimea.
Thanks MNTGAL. Nice posts about Holland and the Pre-Trib stuff. I will look into the subjects. I heard Hal Lindsey speaking in the early 70’s. It was a mid-size church.
The focus on Christ was changed after that. They went into La-La Land after Lindsey spoke. It is very sad to see the farmers targeted in Holland.
Kevin Taylor
By searching Golitsyn on Twitter, I found many people talking about “Chabad”. It seems that Chabad is a Jewish organization or something like that but I wonder why so many people who know Golitsyn talk about this specific organization (and not just the Jews if they are antisemites) . Do you have any “informations” on this ?
I have seen that as well. I think they are trying to discredit Golitsyn by so frequently associating his name with this bullmess. It has to be Russian or other Communist bloc trolls.
I know that some antisemites have used Golitsyn for their own purposes. I have not kept up with them, however.
“Japan says Russian warships spotted near Taiwan, Okinawa islands”
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/japan-says-russian-warships-spotted-near-taiwan-okinawa-islands-2023-07-01/
Why are the UK & France discussing the war in Ukraine, “bilateral defense” and “security issues of common concern” with a PLA military delegation? Is this just normal, business as usual? Do they not realize China is sending everything they learn straight to Russia?
https://www.reuters.com/world/chinese-military-delegation-visited-uk-france-ministry-2023-07-01/
The British know that China are enemies of the West. France’s leader seems to be a creature of the Chinese communists. Who knows what this “dance” is about.
As Janelle says, “off-topic but of interest.” Ready for a socially engineered society?
“The WEF hosted the 14th annual Meeting of the New Champions in Tianjin, China, also known as Summer Davos. During one of the 30-minute panel discussions on June 28, Cornell University professor Eswar Prasad explained that the global economy is “at the cusp of physical currency essentially disappearing” and that programmable CBDCs and the technology behind these new forms of money could take the international economic landscape toward a dark path or a better place.
Prasad contended that one of the “huge potential gains” for the digitization of money is the programmability of CBDC units and attaching expiry dates. Governments can also utilize central bank money to socially engineer society.
“You could have … a potentially better—or some people might say a darker world—where the government decides that units of central bank money can be used to purchase some things, but not other things that it deems less desirable like, say ammunition, or drugs, or pornography, or something of the sort,” he said. “And that is very powerful in terms of the use of a CBDC, and I think also extremely dangerous to central banks.”
A much darker world. To control someone’s money, where they have no say whether it is taken away, devalued, or erased, is tyranny.
Agreed! And yet Canada did it to the truckers and anyone who supported them. That’s where we’re headed, but on a global scale.
Canada’s government is even more frightening than California’s.
“To destroy communism we must be willing to risk our lives. If we are unwilling to do this, then we won’t survive. The Red Dictatorship will triumph…”