“So the decision to go to war — the decision we had not wanted to believe possible — had apparently been taken.”
Eric von Manstein
Now that missiles from NATO countries have been used by Ukraine to strike Russia, Moscow’s new nuclear doctrine authorizes President Putin to launch nuclear strikes against NATO bases. Indeed, the Russians have affirmed their right, in principle, to strike the West with nuclear weapons. The question is, will they follow through and launch nuclear strikes?
Nuclear war is not a simple matter. It presents, on its own, a psychological problem. The use of such weapons can never be casual, because the last world war ended with the use of nuclear weapons, and the next world war will likely begin with them. Psychologically, the idea of world war forms a kind of barrier. Even the worst human being will find himself vacillating when it comes to starting a world war. In the case of World War II, Field Marshal Erich von Manstein’s memoirs contain a curious tidbit that few histories dwell upon. Hitler gave the order to begin military operations against Poland at 3 p.m. on the 25th of August 1939. Hitler then countermanded the order shortly after 7 p.m. About this Manstein wrote:
“Every soldier can judge what an eleventh-hour counter-order of this kind implied. Within the space of a few hours three armies moving straight for the frontier across a zone extending from Lower Silesia to the eastern part of Slovakia had to be brought to a halt — not forgetting that all headquarters staffs up to at least divisional level were also on the march and that there was still a security ban on wireless traffic. Despite all the difficulties, we managed to notify everybody in good time — a first-rate piece of work by the operations and signal staffs. Nevertheless, one motorized regiment in eastern Slovakia could only be stopped after an officer in a Fieseler Storch aircraft had landed at the ahead of the column in the darkness.”
Hitler had summoned his chief of staff and said, “Stop everything at once, fetch Brauchitsch. I need time for negotiations.” Hitler might have vacillated for a number of reasons: His erstwhile ally, Benito Mussolini, got cold feet when the German troops started moving. Poland and the United Kingdom had just signed a formal treaty of alliance that same day. Worse yet, according to British historian A.J.P. Taylor, “The state of German armament in 1939 gives the decisive proof that Hitler was not contemplating general war, and probably not intending war at all.” [p. 218]. In other words, Hitler’s army was not ready. He was bluffing.
Or was he? The psychological question is, in these matters, the decisive question. What goes on in the dictator’s mind? Taylor wrote,
“Here was another mysterious episode. Why did Hitler pull back at the last moment? Did he lose his nerve? Did the two events of Mussolini’s neutrality and the Anglo-Polish alliance really take him by surprise? He himself, with the normal propensity of statesmen to put the blame on others, at once complained that it was all the fault of Mussolini: news of the Italian decsison not to fight had stiffened the British just when they were on the point of surrender. This was nonsense. The British did not know of Mussolini’s decision when they signed the alliance with Poland….” [pp. 269-70]
According to Taylor, there was another reason for Hitler to revoke his attack order. Germany’s Western frontier was “virtually” undefended on 25 August 1939. Hitler’s bluff was all too obvious. He was caught out, and embarrassed. Soon enough, shame itself becomes a factor. Does one launch a world war out of embarrassment? — because one must not be seen as bluffing? Hitler quickly bolstered his Western defenses and launched his fateful attack on 1 September 1939.
The reason to bring up this not-so-ancient history is to illustrate the difficulties of starting a war at the “right time” and in the “right way.” At present, an argument could be made suggesting that Presidents Putin and Xi are planning to escalate the war in Ukraine (and the war in the Middle East) into a general world war. In terms of psychology, the question of war guilt has always been of great importance in terms of world wars. And yet, winning a nuclear war depends on striking first. How do you get the moral high ground when you intend to strike first? The destructive effect of the weapons dictates surprise attack. Related to this, GRU defector Col. Stanislav Lunev once said that the Russian military considers surprise to be the most important factor in war. And this leads us to the next question: What happens to surprise when you have verbally threatened the West with nuclear attack dozens of times?
If empty threats are made, again and again, surprise may actually be enabled. When Chinese President Xi Jinping tells the People’s Liberation Army to get ready for war, over the course of four straight years, the People’s Liberation Army has no choice but to get ready. At the same time, America becomes accustomed to this kind of talk from Beijing. Here, instead of a little boy crying wolf, the wolf cries wolf. In fact, the wolf knows that his prey will eventually disregard these oft-repeated threats. The West will say to itself, “Go back to sleep. Those crazy Russians and Chinese always talk this way. They are only bluffing.”
The question we must ask ourselves is whether we are being subjected to a gradual conditioning process, from Russian and Chinese leaders, where we are primed to ignore Russian and Chinese statements about an imminent war. It is hard to imagine a better explanation for the bluff pattern of Russian and Chinese war talk. Here we have a variation on the Russian behaviorist, Ivan Pavlov, and his famous dogs; only, the dogs of NATO do not salivate when the bell rings. They are conditioned to sleep soundly when Russia threatens nuclear war for the tenth time; or, on electing Donald Trump as president, the dogs believe the threat of world war has been removed because, as Trump has said, the warmongers in Washington will soon be removed from power.
Almost three years ago Putin said, “I am not bluffing.” But he was bluffing, and unlike Hitler he was not afraid to appear ridiculous. It seems that Putin knows he is conditioning the West to disbelieve his threats. He is putting them to sleep by repeating something that begins to sound absurd to everyone. Why should Putin worry about his credibility when surprise is more important?
So, we must confront the question of timing: If you were Putin and Xi, would you start World War III before Trump takes office? Or would you play another round of tricks? If the market falls under Trump, if the U.S. economy fails, under Trump, what would Russia do? In fact, Russia and China want economic collapse and chaos in the United States before hostilities begin. Right? And economic collapse is something that belongs to a more distant future. It is not going to happen before Trump is inaugurated.
Furthermore, Russia and her partners need to be ready for war themselves. At present, it seems they have a few economic kinks to work out, especially when it comes to the Chinese manufacture of precision machine tools and spare parts. Defeat Ukraine and fix the economic and technological problems of Russia and China first. Build your economic attack, your sabotage apparatus, your agent networks and your toxic narratives. That seems to be their priority.
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238 responses to “Is Russia Bluffing?”
Jeff, any books you’d recommend that are good primers on both Chinese and Russian military thought as it could relate to the future conflict?
“Soviet Military Strategy,” edited by Marshal V.D. Sokolovsky. And then, Sun Tzu’s “Art of War” along with writings from Mao and Han Fei-tzu, the legalist philosopher who mocked Confucius as a dolt. Han exemplifies the spirit of Ivan Pavlov and the current CCP regime.
In your book you draw a war scenario of what a communist invasion would be like and how World War III would possibly impact other regions, do you have any corrections or complements to what you wrote there?
So far, no.
An English translation of Sokolovskii can be found at:
https://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R416.html
An important book with shocking insights.
[…] Click on the link […]
Jeff, I like your analysis. The enemy seems to be buying time. And during this, periodically tossing off the Nuclear threats to keep up the psychological pressure and further our inability to know when to expect the real kinetic offensive. I think their optimal moments may be after Trump is in and his programs are under way, especially those the left and old right will be freaking out over the most, like mass deportations (including use of military assets), epartment eliminations and military strikes against cartels. Plenty of opportunity for mayhem and to unleash their infiltrators and proxies. All this added to the geopolitical mayhem. Overwelm us before the big kinetics are fired…?
John: You make a good point about the deportations. If Trump uses the military for that, he will be blamed if the military is suddenly needed elsewhere. Something to think about.
And to further echo your post, sweating over the timing, the accuracy of readiness reports for both sides, all the factors that go into the ‘go’ decision, confidence interrupted by doubt, the ability to rely on partners (and not be double-crossed). So much can go wrong. The game has always been long. We’ve kept it going for decades. Might their be even better options if we wait a bit longer. The need to appear bold. Legacy. And what of secret weapons of the West that we may never have uncovered? Is the real legacy to be remembered as the one who most perfectly set up the next generation for ultimate victory?
The West’s secret weapons is one of the big questions, and this may be connected to these strange reports of UAPs (UFOs). A very good book was written recently with evidence that the U.S. is hiding something very powerful behind all this talk of UFOs and aliens.
Which book are you referring to?
I am referring to Mark Pilkington’s “The Mirage Men,” which is brilliant and important.
Thank you.
Much reminds me of what was known in Germany during the Second World War and later came to light – especially in central and eastern Germany through the German and Russian Stasi, who questioned employees and prisoners of the former German high-tech industry (AWO triangle Thuringia; Skoda factories in the Czech Republic, Poland …) but also local residents. Many patents, descriptions, prototypes (for example the rotary wing aircraft, batteries that charge themselves …) were stolen by the Allies and taken to the USA, Russia and England with – if possible – the appropriate technicians. Neither Manfred von Ardenne went to Russia voluntarily, nor Wernher von Braun to the USA. These are just the best known names. Harteck, Heisenberg, von Weizsäcker, Gerlach, Diebner and others knew a lot more than they revealed.
Some Stasi protocols can be viewed today; much is still hidden – but many contemporary witnesses ease their conscience before they die.
I am more concerned about Chinese neuroweapons; China has apparently developed processes and systems that can directly attack or control people’s brains using microwaves or other energies in the form of electromagnetic beams that can be fired from both small arms and larger weapons systems. “Unbeknownst to many, the Chinese Communist Party and its People’s Liberation Army have established themselves as world leaders in the development of neurostrike weapons,” said a 12-page report titled “Enumerating, Targeting, and Collapsing the Chinese Commust Party’s Neurostrike Program.” Back in 2021, the US. Department of Commerce imposed sanctions on China’s Academy of Military Medical Sciences, as well as 11 other entities accused by the U.S. of “using biotechnology processes to support Chinese military end-uses and end-users, including alleged brain-control weapons.”
It looks more likely that BigBrain and BICAN will be the weapons that will play an important role in World War III. Anyone who knows a little about IoT and IoB knows where this is headed.
The Soviets have been working on mind control weapons much longer than the Chinese. The Chinese program is probably based on the Russian.
Can Russia and China really neutralize the nuclear retaliation from their targets? They had a failed nuclear test recently, the whole invasion of Ukraine ending up in this meat grinder quagmire, can Russia handle being targeted by nuclear strikes? It just seems that there’s a lot of uncertainty around Russia right now for them to pull an all-in, or are we being misled to think they are more vulnerable than they actually are?
This is a good technical question, which is covered extensively in CIA analyst Peter Pry’s book, “Nuclear Wars: Exchanges and Outcomes.” Pry was one of the United States’s leading experts in nuclear war fighting. The fact that Russia and China are developing new and specialized kinds of first strike weapons shows that this is uppermost in their war planning. Gen. VanHerk, formerly the commander of Northcom, told me that Russia’s new long range cruise missiles were difficult to detect and intercept. Same for the hypersonic missiles. Mr. Wang of Luda Media has published information about Chinese heavy drones that can carry micronuclear warheads capable of destroying missile silos. These drones can be smuggled into the US and launched from farms or warehouses owned by Chinese front companies here in the USA. According to Pry, you begin a first strike by crippling all early warning systems. You blind the defender by either wiping out his satellites or attacking his ground relay stations with commandos. Two GRU defectors, Suvorov and Lunev, wrote or spoke privately about extensive pre-war diversionary operations (i.e., grey terror, etc.). Twenty plus years ago this involved the stealth deployment of 8,000 Speznaz troops to U.S. soil in advance of operations. Mr. Wang claims there is already a regiment of Chinese commandos deployed to the United States as of February 2024. In his 1990 book, Pry’s argument was not that Russia could realistically achieve 100 percent wipeout of U.S. counterforce rockets in a surprise attack, but that the U.S. would not have sufficient force to cripple Russia or even create stalemate conditions. He runs a number of scenarios and does number crunching toward the back of the book. Presently, Russia is braced to receive a nuclear attack, with more than 3,000 bunkers that cannot be easily destroyed, blast shelters for the urban population. Even now Russia is deploying emergency shelters for the small town and rural areas, which is not a good sign. Russia also has special regiments of engineering troops with huge rubble-clearing equipment for rescuing the people trapped in blast shelters under fallen buildings. These regiments would deploy 13 days after the attack, when the radiation has subsided to acceptable levels. Presently, we don’t have enough strategic weapons in our arsenal to take out all of Russia’s important miltiary or industrial sites. In fact, the most important components of Russia’s military industry are located in underground cities under the Ural mountains. There are several of these cities, connected by underground rail tunnels. In private conversations I was part of, Pry said that our ballistic missile submarines were not directly vulnerable (as far as he knew), but that the system for transmitting the PAL codes for launching SLBMs could be destroyed by a first strike, so that the nuclear weapons on our SSBNs could not be fired. By 2009 Peter felt that a 100 percent successful first strike from China (without Russia) was possible due to our lax strategic posture. I think some of this has been corrected since late March 2020; But we’ve got a major problem with our politicians, who do not really understand any of this.
@JRNyquist: What was the major change/’correction’? Given the timing, had it something to do with COVID?
COVID may have had less effect than they hoped, and China suffered some serious economic setbacks. As state-managed economies, Russia and China have problems with malinvestment. Their war preparations and Russia’s Ukraine War may have dislocated their respective financial systems.
UK ‘READY FOR WAR’
VLAD WAR TALKS Putin calls secret meeting TONIGHT after threatening UK with new missile…as Brit military chief says we’re ready for war
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer has also said Britain ‘cannot allow Putin to win this war’
https://www.the-sun.com/news/12946683/ready-war-brit-putin-threatens-uk/
—————–
Moscow threatens to attack POLAND: Kremlin warns it can strike US base using ‘advanced weapons’ as NATO scrambles jets and Putin unleashes ‘ICBM’ in Ukraine for first time after Storm Shadow strike
Ukraine’s air force reported an ICBM had been fired from southern Russian base
It is the first time Ukraine has been hit with an ICBM since war broke out in 2022
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-14109049/Putins-Storm-Shadow-revenge-Moscow-unleashes-ICBM-time-savage-Ukraine-blitz-warns-hit-base-POLAND-NATO-jets-scrambled-Kyiv-fired-UK-missile-Russian-territory.html
Funny how Putin makes that commie Brit PM look like a tough guy. Who is he trying to fool? Britian is ready? What?! Ready to be turned into West of West Pakistan?
It’s laughable to suggest that the UK is ready. But there is a quiet and understated yet increasing alarm among switched-on people here (esp. among the middle classes) that something mushroom-shaped is coming.
Also, during the present week, there have been numerous reports of the Nordic nations and Germany upping the warnings to their populations to prepare for war. I wonder, has anyone heard anything about those regions becoming likely theatres of conflict? Because the Swedes in particular appear to be in a state of panic.
There is a Russian plan to invade Sweden and then take the Norwegian ports. The idea is to flank NATO from the north. I never thought this plan was practical, but Sweden is alarmed.
It would make sense if they squeeze Ukraine and start bombing US bases in Poland etc., then this plan could be used as a north flank attack, and it wouldn’t probably require too many troops because EU and NATO are not that much ready either, and Russia has more real hardware like this latest hyper-sonic missile Oreshnik. PLUS Moscow agents are often in high places of these socialist countries so that when any real opposition starts to Moscow’s war preps, they could be sabotaged and or delayed until it is too late.
From the military strategy standpoint it makes sense, the question is whether they will execute it or use it as a possible decoy in some way.
Reply to Quietman. Swede here. Theres no panic here, yet. You are probably thinking about the pamphlet that is sent out to all households now. It’s informative so here is the link.
https://rib.msb.se/filer/pdf/30874.pdf
The internet is commenting a lot about it, some are alarmed. And comments are a sign of confusion. This kind of info used to be in the phonebook. And I think it was printed seperately on a few occasions during the cold war.
This guy is not happy about the pamphlet. He is on the right, and tend to be Putin positive. The comments are interesting. A subset of the Putin positive right…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pTgZVF1fCIE
I’ve noticed one reaction that is peculiar. It’s probably not exclusive for Sweden and it’s this. Commentators, who support Ukraine and are generally against the Russian regime, draw the conclusion that the way Russia is conducting the war in Ukraine is a sign of weakness. The high losses of men and equipment is a sign of that. The use of old, and or strange equipment, golfcarts etc, is a sign. The periodically varying use of missiles is a sign. The use of the IRBM the other day is a sign that they are getting low on more suitable missiles. And on and on. Most things are thought to be a sign of russian weakness. And it is, but brutal as it is, it’s also a way for the russians to learn and adjust. And in regards to equipment, we who have no secret intel, know very little about what Russia have stored in their underground complexes and indoors. What we see and hear is that they have emptied a large portion of the open air storage facilities. But what do they have that is hidden?
Also worrying is that these people think that the russian nuclear arsenal is maintained in the same manner as tanks, apc’s and ifv’s that has been stored in the open… i.e that it is nonoperational, then in fact Russia have improved and developed new ones.
This is an especially brilliant analysis, Jeff. You’re right, this is exactly what has happened. We are just like Pavlov’s dogs. Americans hear the words “nuclear war” from Putin and Xi and simply chuckle. Or roll their eyes. Our guard is totally down. These two dictators are singing a “Nuclear War Lullaby” to the West. And we have been completely lulled to sleep.
I read a few weeks ago that Zelenskyy is now requesting to shoot US Tomahawk missiles into Russia. Tomahawks have a range of 1500 miles (ATACMs have a range of 190 miles for reference). No word yet on whether Biden will allow this, but we already know that Biden works for Russia. The timing of his allowing the use of the ATACMs is so interesting— right after Trump’s election. Zelenskyy firing US Tomahawk missiles into Russia would be the perfect setup for a first strike by Russia that they could reasonably blame on the United States. We’d be blamed for poking the Bear one too many times. The rest of the world would say, “They were warned, a thousand times over. But they wouldn’t listen.”
A first strike would also, of course, completely destroy our economy. Would they really need to worry about it being before hostilities began? It doesn’t seem like it to me. And if done before Trump took power, we’d have the most inept, corrupt group of people imaginable picking up the pieces, if any of them even survived. Of course Biden or Harris could somehow be spared so they could be there to surrender.
Jeff, I think you may be onto something. I certainly hope you’re wrong, though. I’m sure it fills all of us with dread to be contemplating something like this.
Yes. The people poking the bear are working for the bear — which is as sinister as a wolf crying “wolf.”
With Sweden & Finland in NATO, this compromises Arkhangelsk, Primorsk & Murmansk subtending ports– Has this new element been brought up by military men you’ve encountered in these strategic calculations?
NATO’s Norwegian territory has already directly bordered the Murmansk/Kola region for decades. These Russian bases are no more vulnerable to NATO than before. Besides, most of NATO’s coastal striking power is in the US Navy and nuclear missiles anyway. What is Finland going to do? March to Murmansk? In World War II, General Dietl tried to take Murmansk and his troops ended up eating their horses. It’s not an easy place to take or threaten. The Kola Peninsula is bristling with weapons and warships.
There would be a few advantages to striking before the inauguration. First, there would be no electricity for much of the winter; a terrible die off of your foe. You could just leave them simmer over the winter, and roll in in the spring with maybe 10% of the population still alive. Second, Trump has the ability to rally the nation to fight; this administration is hated by most of flyover country and most of the people capable of fighting.
Peter Vincent Pry wrote a short story about this possibility. He was writing from an EMP perspective, which could happen. Or Red/Green alliance undercover agents could just shoot up transformers until the power was out so that they would not have to use nukes.
If America was taken down, every nation. would serve the nation that did it. They would be terrified, and rightfully so.
Yup its good to remember that small arms is all that’s required to really disrupt our grid for a considerable time. There are reports over the years of small arms be used on the grid already. Also conventional means of generating EMP effects exist.
Also hack attacks on outdated SCADA systems.
“On electing Donald Trump as president, the dogs believe the threat of world war has been removed because, as Trump has said, the warmongers in Washington will soon be removed from power.” –
Interesting parallel comes to mind. During his elections Zelensky promised the end of war in Eastern Ukraine, because he believed it was fed by Poroshenko (a warmonger). But instead the war went into a much hotter phase with his presidency. I think it is a bad luck to promise the end of war, which you didn’t start. I believe Trump could have prevented or delayed it. Which I think he did during his presidency. But now he has so little control over things. And the war will definitely intensify before he comes to his office.
Another interesting thing is that I heard other analysts in Ukraine saying that threats without realisation are a way to put people into a false security state. But other than this, nobody here sees the unity of purpose of Russia and China. They insist that China is holding Russia on a leash not letting them use nukes. But is that true? Does China really want to prevent nuclear war, or are Chinese leaders making false claims?
Good points, Valentina. Russians are more aware of these games because of their long experience with deceptive rulers. When you are continually manipulated, certain tricks come into focus. The West has learned very little because their politicians are superficial liars rather than artists.
Taras Chornovil and the Secret of the Ukrainian War
https://youtu.be/Vqdssrdagrs?si=62bW4upK_AxBKU5G&t=1891
There is a sizeable cohort in Ukraine that is distrustful of Zelensky and what occurred in the opening hours and days of the war (stand down orders, particularly in Kherson, and not activating the minefields). Full disclosure of the Biden Laptop & Burisma conflicts of interest by Zelensky would have secured infinite support from the Trump Administration, yet they refused to play this hand: why?
Regarding Red China, their economic situation is precarious, and even more so with Trump threatening everywhere between 60% and 200% tariffs– their real estate scamming dwarfs Fannie Mae by orders of magnitude . . . Trump believes this will force Beijing to pull all backdoor banking and military aid (despite excercising zero influence to prevent North Korean entry as a belligerent) . . . it may serve merely to accelerate Drunkard Xi chasing his destiny, along with Putin. There is every “use it or lose it” incentive structurally, taking analysts like Peter Zeihan’s facts in isolation.
Zelensky was not in power when Biden demanded removal of the Ukrainian prosecutor by threatening to withhold $2 billion in aid. Ukraine is interpenetrated by Soviet elements. Moscow’s agents have always played their games in Ukrainian politics to weaken resistance to Moscow. People are sometimes not so clever when it comes to mapping the real agents of influence.
For some reason Zelensky is holding very close to his heart and mind exactly those, who are the agents of Russian influence. He has been warned about them many times from inside and from outside of Ukraine, before and after the beginning of war. But maybe he thinks it is a sign of his maturity and independent thinking not to heed any of those warnings. And the question still remains, who ordered to demine the passage from Crimea near Chongar, which let Russian troops occupy the south of Ukraine. Most of the territories occupied by Russia now were occupied because of this demining. The mines were placed there in 2014 and taken out just before the war. I also think that these Russian agents are responsible for Ukraine not preparing for the war and for Zelensky to close weapon production factories before the war. His exact words were: “If we build rockets, we will not be able to build roads.” And those agents were behind the multiple video-addresses of him telling ukrainians in January-February 2022 that “there will be no war, set aside your evacuation bags, don’t store extra supplies and instead prepare for barbeques in May. The West has got it wrong, Russia is not going to attack us.” I am so sad about his shortsightedness. Maybe he is like that, because he comes from a part of Ukraine that was always pro-Russia and pro-USSR. He certainly shows signs of that conditioning at least in his choice of friends and associates.
So Jeff, correct me if I’m wrong, but in the comments section of your last post you implied that you thought that perhaps Russia wanted Trump to win. I’ve been thinking about this for the past week & wondering what your reasoning was. Is it because of the lack of mail-in ballots that were sent through the mail this past election? Do you believe that the lawyers being at all the voting locations, as well as Republicans cleaning up the voter rolls, still doesn’t account for the 20 million vote discrepancy between 2020 and 2024?
In other words, are you wondering why the Democrats didn’t mail in an extra 20 million votes this election? Do we know for sure that they didn’t? Is there a possibility that the mail-in ballots weren’t valid because of all the new measures taken by Trump and the Republicans to prevent voter fraud?
If anyone else has any thoughts on this, please chime in, too.
I think Trump has enough agents of influence in his camp that Russia can play its game with either party in power. That is becoming painfully obvious.
Possible recording of Prighozin plotting w/Lukashenko during 2023 mutiny:
Transcript:
https://x.com/pavelslunkin/status/1859345830441886028?s=46
Audio:
https://x.com/denisdanilovl/status/1859573825366638869?s=46
Ok, for some reason the Prigozhin recording links posted up here first, as a reply. I have no idea why 😂
Except that Trump himself might just be one of those agents (and NOT just of the influence, but worse)…this cannot be discarded just because people don’t believe it.
They were saying that Tulsi Gabbard’s specialty was in psychological warfare when she was in the military.
Please cite a source for this.
Just thought about this point regarding Gabbard – and seems like either it was played by Bannon from some person who claimed that she is a great choice, or it was Fox News, but it is certain that the person said so that she was involved in this psychological warfare – have to look it up, it was just recent, 2-3 days or so ago.
It doesn’t mean anything because she shouldn’t be anywhere near any such post as DNI, because of her pro-communist background and he being “previously” a Democrat.
Sue was an Military Police and later civil affairs. I see nothing about psych warfare.
Here it is – and this person says so, about 1 min 15 mark
https://rumble.com/v5qn47z-jim-rickards.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp
It was on Bannon. She was involved in Psy-op operations he said.
This post is from an anti-US military perspective, but contains the relevant info. Gabbard is “commander of a battalion in the US Army Civil Affairs & Psychological Operations Command.”
Gabbard states, “It is truly a privilege to have been selected to serve the soldiers of the 440th Civil Affairs Battalion as their Commander.”
https://x.com/benjaminnorton/status/1666067715600121857?s=46
I read it was only a recent position for her. 2020. It’s not like she was doing psy ops for the DIA in Nam or something.
You mean she wasn’t in the army before she was born?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Army_Civil_Affairs_and_Psychological_Operations_Command She’s got a degree in Business Administration. I’m thinking she’s not some deep cover agent working in active warzone. She a Lt. Colonel. I’m aware she’s not old enough for Nam. I’m saying there is a certain idea of a psychological warfare specialist in my mind and I don’t think she fits it.
Also she wasn’t in that position Civil Affairs and Pychological Operstions for very long period of her military career at all. She only took that position after acquiring her degree in Bussiness Administration with a focus on International Bussiness. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulsi_Gabbard#:~:text=In%202015%2C%20Gabbard%20became%20a,as%20a%20Civil%20Affairs%20officer.
That’s pretty interesting. She was a psych warfare officer. One might make any number of things out of that. She is straight out of the Wilderness of Mirrors. No way to analyze without a lot more detail.
Yeah for a year or 2. Otherwise she was a medical spec and MP. And after reading what that unit does and where she operated (Horn of Africa)it does nothing IMO to recommend her for director of national int. I’m thinking with her degree she was doing more administration than intelligence or psychological warfare in the Horn of Africa.
The serious question is WHY she would be protected this way on Bannon’s program if that was not for a serious reason, when her qualifications in intel operations are minimal ?
Why is it so important to them to publicize that she was involved in psy-op warfare, when it doesn’t even seem it was anything important, like planning and military strategic deception and so on ?
And since it is Bannon and somebody as his guest, praising the choice of Gabbard, this is even more intriguing, as her post as DNI is crucial for the national security and now these people are trying to justify that choice Trump has made, by implying she is the best ever candidate, and then, on top of this, the reversed psychology of these discredited opponents, the Democrats, which of course tell the truth about Gabbard as not a good choice at all.
The DNI should be a strict and a very prudent man, a general, but a general with an analyst mind and more experience in the KGB/GRU intelligence and strategy, then that would have been a good choice. Somebody in the Golitsyn’s rank, or Sen. McCarthy and such like quality.
Moreover, a woman is not always privy to what the military necessity and intelligence analysis requires, and this DNI post, ESPECIALLY in such evil times, is crucial and Trump is playing with fire to nominate somebody as Gabbard, with prior communist connections (which her more of less recent statements highlight also), as the DNI. It is also not a woman’s job at all, but this is the aftermath of this kind of perverse times now.
Here she is singing one of the Communists’ top hits:
https://youtu.be/chEbezKKrMs?si=wNLL7El3u6avoFwy
Not very religious of her.
No it’s not, lol
Where’s the link?
https://youtu.be/chEbezKKrMs?si=ex8mDd4EPMx5Xb0U
Sometimes I forget to post link.
It appears you’ve forgotten it again. I don’t see it. She signs Imagine and Give Peace a Chance. https://www.google.com/search?q=rtulsi+gabbsrd+singing+communist+song&oq=rtulsi+gabbsrd+singing+communist+song&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIJCAEQIRgKGKABMgkIAhAhGAoYoAEyCQgDECEYChigATIJCAQQIRgKGKABMgkIBRAhGAoYoAHSAQkzNzg4MWowajeoAhSwAgE&client=ms-android-americamovil-us-revc&sourceid=chrome-mobile&ie=UTF-8
No, I didn’t forget it the second time for sure. It just may not be showing up on your end. It’s “Imagine” though.
I hadn’t seen the one of her singing “Give Peace a Chance”.
In 2022 Gabbard gave a lecture “…discussing social media’s impact on democracy, information warfare and disinformation, for students at the Army’s 43-week psychological warfare school….”
https://www.military.com/daily-news/2022/11/22/after-pushing-conspiracies-tulsi-gabbard-lectures-special-ops-students-avoiding-disinformation.html?amp
“Putin AI? Strange body movements spark theories of fake Vlad leading nation”
https://www.the-express.com/news/world-news/155583/vladimir-putin-ai-video
People just love crazy speculations.
It is very odd that his hands didn’t move at all. Often people with Parkinson’s clench their hands like this to prevent tremors.
I don’t like crazy speculations, but I do see some evidence of at least Putin’s double being used on several occasions. True Putin was separating himself from all guests by long table. All his visitors had to be quarantined for 2 weeks before being allowed in his presence, while fake Putin in the same time period met with crowds of people in very close proximity. Also one of his doubles once was staring at his watch on a wrong hand, where there was no watch. Because Putin would wear it on a different hand and the double had it in a Putin’s manner. The list goes on and on.
How can we identify Putin’s double by appearance? Is there a telltale?
If we do end up in a hot (or nuclear) war before or after Trump’s inauguration I am very concerned about the readiness of Western military forces. There have been numerous examples in recent years of US Navy ineptitude on the high seas (often as a result the emphasis on DEI over professionalism). Meanwhile, across the pond, it is beyond clear that Britannia no longer “rules the waves” as they are about to decommission the assault ships HMS Albion and HMS Bulwark 10 years ahead of schedule (both are flagships). https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/john-healey-royal-marines-julian-lewis-hms-albion-navy-b2650652.html
The ferocious Kier Starmer strikes again.
Yes, that’s two capital ships sunk by their own government just as we head into WW3. Maybe they’ll mothball the two carriers next.
NOTHING the Russian communist criminals advertise should be taken lightly !
The point about them creating deceptive momentum while pretending to bluff is exactly the strategy, because then if they threaten again and nobody pays attention to it, they could easily just begin pushing the buttons and let the ICBMs to fly…and do not forget that Russia has developed (long ago) a system of parachuting heavy tanks and armored vehicles onto the enemy territory, which, such technology and systems the US military rejected as marginal – this is of major concern because when the level of radiation is lowered, they don’t have to wait for the ships and such like means of transport to be used, but they can shorten the transfer of military hardware by flying it onto the US soil and dropping it, perhaps even with the crew inside the tanks etc.
https://youtu.be/aEb6UI4S3QQ
Putin is not a simpleton and they work in collegial manner, so that all possibilities and strategies are constantly reviewed according to changes in developments, Russian military strategy is very flexible, but precise – and what they are doing in Ukraine (seemingly failing) should NOT be taken seriously because it is most likely deception, to paint themselves as in difficulties and military incapability to manage the war as such…the Sun Tzu deception.
Of course marginal difficulties will always exist but that doesn’t mean they will terminate the war effort.
These are communist criminals who don’t care how many human lives are lost and how many soldiers are killed, they want to control the whole world and destroy the main enemy – the USA.
And since the US leadership is compromised, they don’t have to rush to execute the attack, but that could exactly be the point why them might just do that….their deceptive methods are superior, and it is only the inner circles of the Kremlin that know how exactly this will be done. A VERY serious situation, especially now when the KGB asset is still in the WH, communist penetrated agencies in charge, the US military under the leadership of most likely communist elements and they are pretending that all is under control…
Their main weapon is subversion, but that doesn’t mean that it cannot be replaced by a huge nuclear attack instead, the blast of the century.
One more detail – and this goes way back – another point of strategy is the transfer of the nuclear warheads in parts, in specially radiation-proof protected containers so that the already present Spetznaz etc. commandos just pick up the containers from the harbour and deliver them to the staging area where it is assembled and armed by the military specialists – and the warhead is then moved to the target location – or even assembled in the vicinity of that location in the first place.
Then the whole is blamed on the “Islamic terrorist states” so that Russia and China escapes the blame…
There is one more additional point (possibility) – if this is truly just a bluff, there is a serious reason for it coming from the Kremlin Mafia – and so to detect that reason is very difficult, but it could be concessions and such like for Russia favorable outcome, so that they have more time and can prepare even more thoroughly to execute the initial attack, when they decide to do so – or it will involve communist revolution and civil war, if necessary.
Meanwhile Putin is making sure that nobody takes him seriously enough that he will do it – which, by doing so, they truly prove how impotent and mislead they are (including those who are partially in on it, but were promised lies by their KGB superiors, which Moscow of course will not honor…when these domestic treasonous assets are exterminated by the KGB/GRU “cleaning crews”).
Recent webinar by Commitee on the Present Danger: China, featuring Jeff Nyquist and Trevor Loudon (as well as Brian Kennedy, Col. John Mills, Col. Rob Maness)
“Xi’s Preparation of the Battlespace – is the CCP readying for a shooting war?”
https://presentdangerchina.org/webinar-xis-preparation-of-the-battlespace/
Unrelated, but was curious: what AI tool / model is being used to generate the images at the end of these articles?
This is concerning as the communists activate Biden to possibly stage a nuclear annihilation of Europe. There is no bluff on this one because the communists don’t want years of cultivating agents inside the West be in vain since the fake collapse of USSR was quite expensive but necessary for them.
I currently lean to the possibility of the communists taking the fight against the deepest level of free world who may possess UAP/UFO tech. The ultimate governance of free world probably has the tech to disturb the communists but not destroying them because our people would have destroyed communists years ago. The communists have been patient because they think there is a deepest government of free world having extraordinary techniques and technology. If the communists are going to stage WW3 with WMDs, then it’s likely that they believe UFO/UAP deep state is a bluff or enough WMDs can overwhelm any UFO/UAP advantages.
“but not destroying them because our people would have destroyed communists years ago.”
Permanent Moon bases were designed and feasible with 1960s technology. We are not interstellar largely because of these world-historic crab barrel powers obliging all that time and capital to be wasted on MAD strategic deterrence. An enemy keeps defense budgets filled and working on long term civilizational paradigm shifting technologies, but if they are out of check (as they were in Able Archer 1983) that all goes out the window. Moscow & Beijing outlived that utility and cannot be allowed to continue grey zone degradation of the human capital base that is actual Western Europeans, if we’re to get on with the business of hedging the race’s bets among the stars.
“What do you do with an enemy that tries to nuke you, but fails?” — Peter Zeihan.
Morgenthau Plans would be far too generous for these slavers.
The problems we face are spiritual and philosophical, and too many people are looking at things in the wrong way.
I think you are right, they need economic collapse. Let’s see what they have in mind to collapse our economies.
If they’re planning a nuclear/EMP/chemical/biological attack, do they still need economic collapse beforehand? If so, why?
EMP, if the EMP bombs work properly, which is uncertain under wartime conditions and electromagnetic anomalies, threatens to melt down all fission reactors on the targeted continent. This would be Fukushima x100. You do not do that unless you are losing and forced to play your last card. One fission reactor can unleash more long-term nuclear contaminants than several full-scale nuclear wars. One super EMP weapon could kill the Atlantic Ocean and have unpredictable long term planet-wide effects on fish, birds, animals — the entire food chain. You could kill the planet. Fission is dirty. Hydrogen bombs are clean. EMP is very problematic.
Then let me restate the question. I had forgotten that. If they’re planning a nuclear/chemical/biological attack, do they still need economic collapse beforehand? If so, why?
They economic collapse as an adjunct to surprise. If everything is fully functional surprise is more difficult to achieve. Also, they intend to exploit the resulting political instability for diversionary purposes.
And this is what Lunev has said? If they aren’t able to collapse the economy in time, would they most likely wait for a more opportune time? They’re incredibly patient, but they sure do have a lot riding on this, with all the operatives currently in the country.
No. This is not something I learned from Lunev.
So if there’s an economic collapse, prepare for nuclear, biological and/or chemical warfare.
Communism is all about “collapsing capitalism.” That is when the Revolution is supposed to happen. So yes, basically, they don’t want to miss the opportunity to roll us when the economy tanks and they can come out of the woodwork to do their thing. Russia and China definitely see that as “clean-up” time.
So if the Revolution follows an economic collapse, then we’re possibly looking at more of a civil war type of scenario, with Russia backing the alt-right and China backing the left, and likely using traditional weapons (not nuclear/biological, etc)?
I apologize for all the questions— I’m trying to understand how all of these things fit together. Thanks for your patience.
This idea of Russia supporting the right and China supporting the left occurred to me many years ago as I watched Russian agents of influence making headway in conservative and rightwing groups. Mr. Wang of Lude Media confirmed to me that it is an active strategy coordinated between Russia and China. And it is very sophisticated strategy. This blog is the only place anyone is discussing it that I know of.
It is sophisticated. And it’s shocking that they’ve been so successful. It’s unbelievable that they were able to get the entire Western world so easily to accept Putin as a Christian nationalist in such a short period of time. Especially when he’s former KGB and allied with Xi and Kim Jong Un! Some people are so indoctrinated that pointing out these facts doesn’t even slightly red-pill them!
But back to my original question: If there is a civil war here in the US, you’d expect that to be non-nuclear and non-biological? Or is that too much to assume?
It might well be non-nuclear, yes. But we cannot be sure of any combination of usage or tactics.
Thanks for all your thoughts on this. It’s good to have more of an idea of what to expect. It’s sad for our country to be at the point where civil war might actually be the better option, since we have basically no missile defense and have let a foreign army with biological agents into our country unimpeded.
Americans, unlike most Germans, come from a common sense tradition. This may make civil war difficult to trigger. We shall see how much nonsense people can absorb in the next year.
If it’s a given that they’re going to attack.
It should be noted that both the Russian and Chinese economies are falling and are in danger of free fall. China in particular is getting worse and worse. Mass killing incidents were occurring every week, and now even seem to be happing multiple times a week. These incidents consist of both mass stabbing incidents immediately covered up by the government or slaughter via vehicle incidents. I think a week or two ago one driver killed 32 people and left 40 or more injured. CCP Wumaos blamed it on the USA. The attack was immediately eclipsed by two more vehicle attacks leaving dozens dead.
In Russia, I don’t believe they can continue to sustain the losses they are experiencing. It is estimated they are now losing more people per day than the daily birth rate. Inflation is exploding, the Ruble is again worth 100 rubles for every one dollar. The stock market, last I looked, is steadily falling. The use of Norks, who are already dying on the battlefield, suggests Russia is running out of meat. Igor Strelkov, commenting from prison, feels Russia is losing the war and that Putin fears the consequences of a mass conscription.
From this perspective, Russia and China are at their weakest. Does that mean they are at their most dangerous?
It may be that they are more dangerous, if they panic and begin using nukes. But they may not succeed under those circumstances because they might lose control at home. Already they are in trouble, as you pointed out. They are worried about this, clearly. I believe they have wrecked their economies getting ready for war against us. Imagine when they finally begin the war. I hope they have reconsidered.
Can you explain what this means specifically, wrecked their economies? I saw a video from a Russian exile billionaire who said they are fine because the West is still sending them billions for fossil fuels. What does it mean specifically, “wrecked their economies”? The sanctions? Job losses? Inflation?
Russia is having infrastructure problems, especially with spare replacement parts from China which are not working as the German parts worked. Certain industries have been affected as well as life in small towns and rural areas.
There are 2 possibilities of the so called US (and worldwide) economic collapse –
1) Russians may just cause enough instability to prevent the country to recover and resupply the military potential, including the nuclear deterrent…and then hit it with huge nuclear strike, or
2) the partial economic collapse may be triggered in order to start the communist revolution or to provoke the civil war…
The first point is, in opinion of this publication, more probable because they want to rob the country blind, and to demoralize the capitalists to the core so that they can never again rise and rebuilt their capitalist society – and so to rob them of all means of production and money, including gold reserve etc., would be the objective, which is confirmed by the history itself, especially when Stalin robbed the Eastern European till then democratic free countries of their industries and banks etc., subverting them into the Bolshevik orbit through electoral fraud and communist takeover, and the case of the entire Spanish gold reserve stolen at the end of the Spanish Civil War (1939 AD), which Moscow had never returned (at least there is no record of it in history).
Of course the military aspect, to demoralize the enemy’s population before the bombs start exploding and the tanks role in, is the objective as well, for that very purpose.
The controlled opposition serves as the decoy, because its “quest for justice” will only remain marginal and insufficient and the communists will be allowed to survive it and regroup…and the cycle will begin again…one step back, two steps forward…and they are diabolically possessed fanatics who don’t forget to make those two steps forward, the evil cause of communism require it and the Kremlin, giving all the orders, is watching their performance and results !
COVID supply chain disruption after decades of off-shoring + Ukraine ‘SMO’ was supposed to have imploded the Western Financial System (libertarian/Austrian economists like Schiff’s doomsaying stands in stark contrast to Tom Luongo, noticing the Eurodollar no longer commanding US financial/Foreign policy with the shift off of LIBOR to SOFR). Barring that, outlasting the ‘decadent West’ in a contest of wills, demonstrating eagerness to take casualties that would induce draft riots in Western countries (typical competitive Russian judo baseline). None of it is forthcoming. Starmer’s UK is liable for 200 billion in IMF loans to Ukraine that they guaranteed, with no sign in sight for a third recapitulation of financial fait accompli that induced American entry to the world wars on their behalf:
A general strike on Europe is the only thing that could plausibly create the economic cascade for anything resembling their “final death of Capitalism”, and if it were a close call non-nuclear attempt throughout Europe their “Peace Movement” secret weapon create huge moral cowardice leverage in negotiations. It would have to be followed up by the removal of Biden with Kamala, causing fear of a full blown coup & civil unrest in the USA. Economic and diplomacy optimism with Trump entering would be reversed overnight by either. Sanctions back dooring by unscrupulous allies would be done openly and with impunity. Alternatively, if Trump were to conspicuously deploy the military against Cartels, Zimmerman note excuses would be present for larger scale Zapata raids in the future when the real First Strike occasion arrives.
Terrance: Very interesting and insightful comments. Also, the Chinese have the idea of collapsing the U.S. economy by disrupting our trade with Japan. This is an idea they want the Russians to back; but Russia has been too focused on Europe so far.
Speaking of economic collapse and Trump being surrounded by agents of influence, he [Trump] just nominated former Soros aide Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/what-to-know-about-scott-bessent-trumps-us-treasury-pick/ar-AA1uB19c
The most important posts to control the country are the DOJ and FBI – and since none of these Trump choices will charge anybody with communist subversion and treason, including Biden and Obama and both Clintons etc., all charged with electoral fraud and manipulations etc., and abuse of authority and so on, then you will see that all else is the same exact double standard – and Trump will just continue half measures instead of the true cleaning up and destroying the communist agents.
For that you need honest and good people and you need to clean up not only the justice system, the courts, but the jury system as well, because if a communist agent is in charge of the jury pool, you will NOT get an honest jurors but again communist selected assets – acquitting their fellow comrades from their crimes…which is the objective – and then the controlled opposition can still claim that justice was serves, because all this remains hidden and concocted in secret – by the communist Mafia. They know how to cheat and how to control the whole system, and the KGB is the one supplying the procedural steps and directives.
You can already see the reversed psychology scheme being played by various democrat and or discredited forces, in case of Gabbard and her DNI nomination – one from that Florida woman Wassermann-Schultz and the other from Nikki Hailey, both claimed that Gabbard has Russian ties more or less….and the Hoft website is defending this catastrophic Trump choice, which is another bad sign where the controlled opposition is ruling the outcome…
Posted an important reply and it is not going through…
Should be fixed.
Worse and worse.
The most important posts to control the country are the DOJ and FBI – and since none of these Trump choices will charge anybody with communist subversion and treason, including Biden and Obama and both Clintons etc., as all should be charged with electoral fraud and manipulations etc., and abuse of authority and so on, then you will see that all else is the same exact double standard – and Trump will just continue half measures instead of the true cleaning up and destroying the communist agents.
For that you need honest and good people and you need to clean up not only the justice system, the courts, but the jury system as well, because if a communist agent is in charge of the jury pool, you will NOT get an honest jurors but again communist selected assets – acquitting their fellow comrades from their crimes…which is the objective – and then the controlled opposition can still claim that justice was serves, because all this remains hidden and concocted in secret – by the communist Mafia. They know how to cheat and how to control the whole system, and the KGB is the one supplying the procedural steps and directives.
You can already see the reversed psychology scheme being played by various democrat and or discredited forces, in case of Gabbard and her DNI nomination – one from that Florida woman Wassermann-Schultz and the other from Nikki Hailey, both claimed that Gabbard has Russian ties more or less….and the Hoft website is defending this catastrophic Trump choice, which is another bad sign where the controlled opposition is ruling the outcome…
Almost 3 weeks after the election, it’s amazing to see how duped conservative media, authors, and political know it alls are these days. Author John Leake (co-author with Peter McCullough) pushes out a piece on their Substack of how the U.S. provoked Russia into the invasion of Ukraine and posts a 4 minute video of Jeffrey Sachs providing his version of this narrative. (The same Sachs who has a history within the Communist run UN and all its own propaganda efforts via climate change and “sustainability”). Then Dr. Paul Alexander (on his own Substack)picks up the same piece praising both Leake and Sachs in agreement.
And now former Faux News darling, Megyn Kelly, pushes a narrative of how Hillary Clinton is the one responsible for the backlash from many of us against Trump’s recent choice for National Intelligence Director in Tulsi Gabbard. (Of course, most here have known of Gabbard’s longtime ties, associations, to Marxists and her pro Russia, pro Putin propaganda she spews, thanks to the work of Trevor Louden)
When do we get to see the American people figure it out and stop listening to these personalities, political Right lies, spreading propaganda of Putin good, America bad?
We are easily persuaded to oppose ourselves. It’s crazy, but our intellectual deficits are killing us.
Yes, some of us who are not part of the medical business still have enough knowledge of biology that we could recognize the lies of Fauci, Birx, et al even while their lips were still moving. You can imagine how much trust we have in our bio-defense system after observing that!
No, I, a couple of my siblings, and some other relatives have not taken the vax, and plan to refuse any new vaxes that the government may try to impose on us.
That’s not the only area where the traitors in government cause common people to distrust agencies in our government.
The two prong approach: infiltrate and discredit from within; develop narratives that envelop the larger institutions discrediting the entire system. It paves the way.
Argh!! Dr Peter McCullough jumping into political theorizing?!?! No!!!! He has been so quintessentially faithful to excellence in medical science from the git-go of Covid. A true hero-warrior for truth and pure science. He needs to stay in his own lane. They must be targeting and luring him into such error.
I like Dr. Peter M., but I noticed a certain tendency toward conspiracy narratives in his talks. It has always been lurking there. I have seen this in physicians before. People with training in certain sciences who are unfamiliar with history and social science methodology often fall into these errors. They do not understand the problem of generalizing about political groups and movements, and how much more complex these are than biological or astronomical phenomena, which have succumbed to successful reductionist shortcuts.
I was in health care for 30 + years. So, I can safely say, for the most part, health care providers tend to embrace left values. They r the loudest voices, anyways, and tend to advance thru the ranks of leadership. But, sadly, McCullough appears to have taken a sharp turn into the “right” ditch here, vs the left one. I’ve heard him say some conspiratorial statements, too, over the last few years, but they were in passing and not the focus. But, publishing political statements with blatant lying “facts”- sheesh! May he wake up and get back up in his lane of expertise and stay where he truly shines.
And, boy, all the medical Trump appointments r a trainwreck, so far, in my little opinion. Glad I was prepared to be disappointed. Other HCPs who saw thru the Covid shenanigans, and were so hopeful with Trump, are taking it all pretty hard on X as they clearly see the trend of “second verse same as the first – just a little bit louder and little bit worse” coming to light. 🥀🙏
(Though the “worse” bit is still to be seen. Wait. Watch. Pray.)
It is disappointing.
It sounds like a certain baseline level of conspiratorial thinking might be build into the alternative medicine movement, simply because one of its foundational principle is to questions official medical dogma. Experts like McCullough, who see the problems with accepted medical theory, cannot help going beyond what they know and alleging grand conspiracy theories about Big Pharma and Big Government. Russia is obviously exploiting this tendency. But even allowing for this predisposition, there is something hinky about the way the anti-Covid movement started repeating the Russian line so quickly once the war started. What if Russian agents were already embedded in the anti-vaccine/alternative medicine movement before Covid started? They might have had at least a 5-10 year head start in manipulate and controlling the movement, so that at the right moment they could fold it into the larger anti-government/pro-Russia alt-right. It would be a neat political parallel if China controls Big Pharma/Big Medicine and Russia controls alternative medicine. Even more interesting since suspicion of big Pharma is a another point of convergence between the left and right. This is only speculation. But just as with the MAGA movement, if big name people like Dr. M and Paul Alexander repeating Russian propaganda there must be Russian money and influence being thrown around somewhere.
Laura: yes, the Russians are attempting to destroy trust in our own bio-defense system. Imagine if we get hit with more serious biological attacks. Do our defenses crumble?
Since I can’t reply directly due to WordPress, I don’t know where this will wind up.
I agree with Laura about Russia’s involvement in alternative medicine. I remember seeing various alt-med groups having a general conspiratorial bend while occasionally pushing the narrative that Putin/Russia were on the “good” side. This ranged from claims of how medical training took place in a “superior” way, Russia banning American GMO wheat, Russian culture opposing the “doctor worship” of the US, and such. Some of us may have encountered these talking points before.
Others fell into the “birth certificate fraud” and “legal strawman” camps as part of such a grand “corporate” conspiracy, blaming the “occupied US government” engaged in enslaving society through all means possible, which some interpreted as being the same ethnic group responsible for every misfortune ever…
Oh, and don’t forget Flat Earth. That came up on many occasions too…
I think you can see where that goes. It was designed to amplify legitimate concerns about food and medical safety to deafening levels, convince people they are attacked from all sides, and radicalize them.
Like Jeff and Alex discussed, it was meant to make people hysterical and suggestible, so they’d latch onto “hero figures” while being told “your old hero figures are bad”, etc. “Do your own research” while funneling people to sites with doctored documents and encouraging comical levels of skepticism when dealing with anything “normal” or mainstream.
All that goes back to the principle of demoralizing your enemy into being completely ineffectual, if not convinced that you are, in fact, correct…and they need to join you (so you can stab them in the back while embracing them).
Oops, forgot to add this (in further response to Laura’s comment about Russia and alternative medicine)…
All that work gave the Russians some ready-to-deploy assets in the event of a global catastrophe. They encouraged the medical counter-culture and contrarians in general, and were able to get some of the most extreme elements to think “everything is a lie”, and reflexively oppose “the current thing”. I had the misfortune of watching people I considered friendly become increasingly repulsive.
So when COVID breaks out and mainstream elements were trying to downplay it in January/February 2020, these folks were extremely worried. By March/April, they began changing their tune as the mainstream started getting more and more worked up. By May/June, I remember people starting to question if such a virus ever existed, then if viruses themselves were even real. The near verbatim line I saw was “this will be used to create an ‘immunization’ that the governments will try to force on us”* – that coming from folks that were not especially intelligent or insightful, but had been primed to connect certain dots in certain ways.
These same folks had spent at least 3-5 years in alternative medicine spaces, and they began appealing to ordinary individuals with no strong opinions, but increasing apprehension and anxiety. For all the propensity to superstition, rumor, and (shamanism? as Alex once put it) in Russia, this too was happening with people I knew here in the US.
*while I knew many “normies” saying that they hoped an effective immunization would be developed, since the whole thing was framed like seasonal flu gone wild and an immunization would be developed like flu shots yearly
So, as COVID progressed, you had a group of people both steeped in skepticism to the point of paranoia alongside “new converts” eager to proselytize, and when the Ukraine war went full-scale, these were the same people mocking reporters wearing helmets and Kevlar vests, mocking Zelensky for literally any reason, and claiming the “never gonna happen” war was being launched to “dig up the dirt on Biden”. Suddenly these people knew how employment-of-forces worked, and how the Russian Army was uniquely poised to “undo the Deep State” and whatnot. Not much changed other than these people getting somewhat quiet when the Ukrainians had their high points (Kherson liberation, Kursk Oblast incursion). They aren’t bots in a troll farm, but people whose minds definitely operate in such a way, as the reaction to the “mainstream normie”…
TheGuy sounds like a troll, throwing spaghetti on the wall to see what sticks. Some of what he says is legit, others off the wall. His basic message is that anyone who opposes the official narrative is a kook—hey that description fits Jeff Nyquist. Further, he practices “guilt by association” by lumping people with legitimate concerns together with low information people who merely react emotionally and others. He sounds ignorant of some of what he says. Therefore, I put him down as a troll.
People are confused and may need help putting the pieces together.
I remember a blog here talking about the real professional Russian military forces were being held back and not being used on the front lines in the Ukraine war. Is that still true?
Inside Russia guy paints a very bleak picture there. He says that in many ways it is becoming worse than the USSR days. Mayor telling people to buy wood stoves and stock up on firewood, A senator suggesting that people should purchase a horse instead of a car, long lines for eggs, potato shortages and high prices. People caught on camera stealing butter. Many butter heists. KGB style arrests. Digital coupons for the wealthy to shop at special designated stores. Also, in a previous video he says that the Russian people now believe that it is better to die in a nuclear war than to live with the evil west.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=K6fIGrINFVE
It is re- Sovietization
They don’t mind letting their own people suffer, and this way these criminals want to strike fear into the population so that the masses are more obedient when the Bolsheviks call them to fight…and most of them are communists and communist perverted people, godless and not knowing the truth, and so they will just comply because otherwise they know that the Siberian Gulags could become busier and filled with such like victims of communism, and that of itself is a very potent persuasive tool, true to the communist tyrannical means as they always use them.
The whole communist state is built on fear and slavery – it is truly diabolical evil system and the ONLY way to deal with it is to avoid any dealings with them and isolating them, and if they fire a missile or two, destroy them – and this is why they installed their agents inside the US government to sabotage the military preparations process.
Biden even depleted the strategic oil reserve to the lowest levels, it was reported – when will people finally realize that this is not some domestic communist development but long-term Soviet communist strategy of worldwide domination ?
Jeff, I just posted those two links to the Prigozhin audio recording with Lukashenko that I sent you. I’m not sure why but it appears to have been flagged. Maybe the word “mutlny”?
I will check.
Thank you. If not, no worries, I can just repost them.
Ok, I got it to post. It must have been the word mutlny. I wonder what other words WordPress doesn’t “allow” anymore.
I show that both your postings should be visible.
Thanks!
Claim: German army only has enough amm0 for six days of combat:
https://x.com/captcoronado/status/1858700256008978791?s=46
Possible recording of Prigozhin & Lukashenko during 2023 mutlny:
Transcript:
https://x.com/pavelslunkin/status/1859345830441886028?s=46
Audio:
https://x.com/denisdanilovl/status/1859573825366638869?s=46
Ukrainian intel leaks Kremlin’s 2045 plan to reshape global power:
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/42613
Be careful about this – this may be KGB deception spread through their assets in Ukraine and the timing might be lot sooner !
Yes, I agree. I was ignoring the date. But it could be a sign the entire story is disinformation.
Well, disinformation in what way and by whom, who profits from it ?
You could supply some quotes, this is an Ukrainian web.
Russians want to rule the world with communist tyranny, and so that hasn’t changed, no matter how they term it now, it is still evil and will cost many lives and the time of the Antichrist will be this and nothing but this, Russia at the helm.
As Our Lady of Fatima said – Russia is the tool of Divine chastisement of this world…
Worse & worse.
“Sebastian Gorka – Deputy Assistant to the President and Senior Director for Counterterrorism
“Trump announced Friday that his former White House adviser, Sebastian Gorka, will serve in his incoming administration. Gorka will serve as deputy assistant to the president and senior director for counterterrorism.”
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/from-cdc-labor-secretary-see-trumps-top-picks-cabinet-roles
Can he pass security background check? And will Trump wave him through?
Not sure about Gorka, but that he is as blind as the rest of them, that is pretty much the summary.
These people, no matter how “radical” they sound, when they don’t realize that the KGB long-term deception has outsmarted them and now they have to humble themselves and admit that they were blind to it, until that is done nothing good will be done in terms of national security – and Gorka doesn’t seem to be one of them who will admit it, him coming from Hungarian background…
It is truly sad that such people are in charge of shaping the US foreign policy etc. and are not fully aware that Moscow has been nothing but the communist evil enemy all the time since Lenin and that that hasn’t changed just because Gorbachov signed some piece of paper and claimed that they can continue their communist paradise much longer.
Since when a criminal godless communist Mafia voluntarily gives up its power just because of “economic problems”, which problems were mostly fabricated lies and deception, and part of the Sun Tzu strategy ?
And these people just continue maintaining their blindness and only speak about Russia being the enemy as a NEW enemy, not a fully armed communist machine, criminal state run enterprise that has never collapsed nor stopped plotting the worldwide communist enslavement.
Have not looked into Gorka’s bio, but if that was done, there might be found perhaps some interesting points there, since he doesn’t acknowledge the truth about the collapse of communism fraud and the KGB plot to take over the world.
A TYPO :
(CORRECTION) “that hasn’t changed just because Gorbachov signed some piece of paper and claimed that they cannot continue their communist paradise much longer. “
Jeff, is it ok if I quote what you said previously (in 2020) about Gorka here, for the benefit of your audience? It’s still public on your blog but I did have to do some digging to find it.
Sure. Go ahead. I do not remember writing much about him, but it should be intriguing.
This is what Jeff wrote regarding Gorka as a comment under “Trouble at the FBI” on December 23, 2020:
“Gorka has pointedly undermined friends of mine who are strong anti-communists. He kicked Jimmy from Brooklyn off his radio show, after treating Jimmy miserably and saying (among other things) that Earth Day was not Lenin’s birthday — which, as Jimmy pointed out, it is. Gorka eventually cozied up to David Horowitz, who publicly attacked Diana West for writing “American Betrayal.” Gorka was also unduly critical of Diana when appearing on a Judicial Watch panel with her, even contradicting things he has said elsewhere to paint her as a “conspiracy theorist.” He misrepresents himself as a strategy expert and knowledgeable about World War II, which he is not. He even described the siege of Budapest as the longest siege of the war, longer — he said — than the “siege of Stalingrad,” confusing the Stalingrad Battle with the siege of Leningrad, which lasted many times longer than the Hungary encirclement. Gorka is a pretender to knowledge and I do not trust him. He climbs into positions he has no business climbing into. He spreads his flattery of the president too thick for an honest man. He made an absolute fool out of Steve Bannon, leading him to associate with very peculiar people in Europe. Gorka’s television personality on Hungarian TV versus his appearances on American TV are suggestive of a “personality transplant.” I am told there are significant stretches of time in his biography where his location cannot accounted for, which may be why he was denied a security clearance and had to leave the White House in 2017. Besides that, he undermined the good guys at the White House when he was there…. Worse and worse, involving his father and the testimony of a British millionaire that Gorka’s father tried to sell a castle to in 1990 Hungary, one must explain how an anticommunist gets such a job when Soviet troops were still on the streets of that city. There is much more, but there is no point in going further. Just listen to the guests he brings on and the nonsense that comes out of him.”
For what it’s worth, yesterday John Bolton was also quoted as saying something similar:
“‘Sebastian Gorka is a con man. I wouldn’t have him in any U.S. government. Fortunately it’s not the highest position he had been mentioned for but I don’t think it’s going to bode well for counter-terrorism efforts when the senior director is somebody like that.…
“Asked why he viewed Gorka as a ‘con man,’ Bolton replied: ‘He needs a full FBI field background investigation about his educational claims and things like that. I think he is a perfect example of somebody who owes his position purely to Donald Trump.’”
I forgot I wrote that, but it’s all carefully considered and as true today as then. Gorka should not be in our security establishment.
Excellent post K, thank you for digging that up. It describes a very worrying aspect about the Trump administration –namely that any conman or agent of influence can flatter his way in. Even if this person doesn’t get a top position because s/he can’t get a security clearance, just by being in and around the administration s/he can gain enormous influence within the larger MAGA movement. And once someone has a MAGA megaphone that person can not only indirectly influence Trump, but also discredit genuine anti-communists and ensure that their voices are ignored by the administration.
Thank you for the kind words, @LauraZ. Yes, since he was a part of the last administration, for all we know, Gorka could have been the initial person who connected Trump to RFK Jr, Gabbard, Ramaswamy, Carlson, Paul, Musk, the Soros people— that whole circle. Especially if he did something similar to Steve Bannon a few years ago.
(Although judging from Don Jr’s posts, a lot of that could also have been his handiwork.)
Yes, a lot of potential security threats are getting “MAGA-phones,” unfortunately.
@JRNyquist: ‘Gorka should not be in our security establishment’–I agree with this. I too am wary of his appointment.
Dmitry Medvedev
@MedvedevRussiaE
So, that’s what you wanted?
Well, you’ve damn well got it!
A hypersonic ballistic missile attack
0:03 / 0:12
10:06 AM · Nov 21, 2024
·
8.2M
Views
https://x.com/MedvedevRussiaE/status/1859659775132492036
Putin described the first use of Oreshnik (hazel tree) as a successful test, and said more would follow.
“We will continue these tests, including in combat conditions, depending on the situation and the nature of the security threats that are created for Russia,” he said in televised comments to defence officials and missile developers.
“Moreover, we have a stock of such products, a stock of such systems ready for use.”
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-says-russia-will-keep-testing-new-missile-combat-2024-11-22/
Jeff, I’ve always respected the opinions of Sam Faddis but I’m rethinking this after his repeated posts that seem to lean pro Russia, pro Putin. He pushes a narrative that Ukraine must negotiate with the ruthless dictator Putin, knowing damn well that there will be no “negotiation”. Putin will demand all the territory of Ukraine back prior to his invasion, his own violation of what he agreed to as far as the Budapest Agreement decades ago. So…we see that again, Russia gets what they want and we (the US) look weak and scared…”pussies” to put it in plain English.
I would love to sit down with Sam. Did not get the chance when I met him last month.
I’m no expert but the man (for all his so called expertise) is clueless about what the long range strategy is regarding China and Russia working in tandem to destroy us and our way of life.
I comment regularly on his Substack posts when he pitches the narrative that “Ukraine is wrong and we gotta convince them to take a deal from the Russian invaders”. Every other comment seems to stroke his ego by agreeing. His is the kind of advice that has us in the situation we are in.
People from CIA operations sometimes suffer from a contextual stigmatism. The operator’s view is usually a worm’s-eye view,
People are often defined, in certain situations, by what they do not know.
I feel like all this new escalation and ramped up fear of war with Russia will lead to something other than the obvious anticipated conclusion.
It’s interesting to think back where we were less than a month ago. All the build-up to the election, the extreme rhetoric on the left, the fears of election cheating on the right, both sides convinced that the other would resort to violence if it lost the election. And in the end, nothing happened. The election was an anticlimax. Trump won and the left accepted it. I think what Russia is doing now is ramping up the political narrative to set the stage for Trump making a mega peace deal to end the Ukraine war. So Biden and Starmer on cue act like crazed “warmongers”, “provoking” Russia into nuclear war by suddenly, after 2.5 years, allowing Ukraine to use long-range weapons against Russia. Everyone is scared and contemplating whether it’s better to back down on Ukraine rather risk a catastrophic war. Suddenly Trump’s promise to end the Ukraine war in one day, most likely by appeasing Russia and threatening to cut off Ukraine completely, doesn’t seem so bad. In fact there will be a new receptive audience ready to embrace Trump’s plan.
Given how many times Russia has cried “nuclear war” we can never be sure whether this time their threats are real. But I would think Russia and China would want to consolidate their victory over Ukraine/NATO before launching the big attack. Otherwise, by going all out now, wouldn’t they be committing the sin of adventurism? As far as needing a justification for launching a first strike against the US, there will be plenty of plausible scenarios after Russia takes over Ukraine and stations Russian troops right up against NATO’s borders. With so many Russian agents around Trump and other Western leaders, I don’t think they are worried about being able to manipulate the West into providing a justification.
If Russia succeeds in taking over Ukraine and pressuring, at a minimum, central Europe and Germany into acquiescing to Russia’s leadership, this can pave the way for a general economic collapse of Europe and eventually the US. That creates at least one necessary distraction for carrying out a surprise nuclear first strike against the US/Europe.
If Europe can be tricked into neutrality, Russia, China, and North Korea could combine against the U.S., Japan, and South Korea without worrying about a second front.
Jeff, what are your thoughts on this alternate statement?
“If the U.S. be tricked into neutrality, Russia, China, and North Korea could combine against Europe, Japan, and South Korea without worrying about a second front.”
To me, it seems like they’re trying to trick the U.S./Trump into this as much as they are Europe.
Very clearly stated interpretation, Laura. Thanks. I have shifted to a similar view over the last 6 months or so (though without being able to really explain it, even to myself). At the start of this year, I thought it likely we’d see some version of the next Big Crisis (possibly global war) sometime in the last half of 2024. I especially worried when the democrat party decided to publicly declare our President unfit in July. Transitions of power are a dangerous time for a country, and we effectively started ours 6 months out. We announced to the globe we have a lame duck commander-in-chief.
But so far, the other shoe hasn’t dropped. And my only explanation is another dynamic — what we see as “soft preparation” that has been going on for years, e.g., destroying the US dollar as reserve currency (while building up non-Western economic/currency alliances), stoking civil strife in the U.S. and throughout the West (“globalists” (drawn to China) vs “nationalists” (drawn to Russia)), neutralize Europe through economic pressure, stretch and deplete U.S. military assets, etc. And meanwhile, China/Russia build and test their own capabilities, while carefully and systematically creating the “narrative of war” that will paint NATO/U.S. as the cause/villain. I agree they are not worried about creating justification, because they’ve been building it all along and it’s been working well enough (to much of the world, The West are the evil colonialists).
I wonder if the current calculus (or tension) for communist leaders is how long these “soft preparations” yield real dividends, versus domestic political and economic pressures, the answer to which would be launching the global kinetic war. I think that dynamic has been discussed here, for sure. Our sense of a dread cycle — looming dread tied to a particular milestone (e.g., U.S. election), followed by anti-climax — may reflect that the calculus continues to favor soft preparations, but at any point, it might not.
Dear Ma’am,
Biden is receiving orders from the Kremlin how to play the “adversary” so that Moscow has the necessary excuse to send the bombs as their retaliation for America’s involvement in helping Ukraine….and so the controlled opposition is upset about this instead of realizing that Biden is their man and that he just follows orders to pick the fight so that Moscow (and later Beijing) will reply with the nukes, as they do threaten already.
The problem is the time – lost time when they installed Biden into the WH and Trump handed him the keys instead of calling the Insurrection Act and locking them all up on charges of treason and communist subversion – but this sounds too extreme today to the already manipulated American mind, but the reality is that Moscow prefers to maintain the status quo and to delay all things that are essential to the US national security, so Biden (and the UK asset as well) are both doing what they are told, ideologically aligned with the destruction of their own countries by the Bolsheviks – EXCEPT that when the Bolsheviks come, these traitors will be executed the minute the Red Army lay their hands on them….as excessive baggage so to speak, no longer needed.
And Biden as the fraudulent excommunicated “Catholic” apostate he is, he will be on his way to the land of no return – Hell forever !
So you are predicting that Biden will be excommunicated? When?
CONCERNED:
How about you simply stop commenting, incessantly, ultimately insulting the intelligence of those of us that already know what you want to preach….we are aware of the present day situation with Russia Ukraine and the misguided politics and history behind actions of the current administration as well as many in the new one coming in.
Lauraz1986 has a true grasp of reality of the issue. Your interjections after are not necessary.
Not predicting at all, he IS excommunicated as heretic, IPSO FACTO, and also with his favoring the communist cause (by participation), the first is by Canon 2314, 1917 Code of Canon Law, the latter is 1949 AD Decree of the Holy Office excommunicating all communists and those who favor the cause of communism, both censures are especially reserved to the judgment of the true Holy See.
The same applies to that woman Pelosi and the current occupant of the Vatican, an apostate sectarian and layman impostor to the Papacy Bergoglio himself is also excommunicated by the same censure, he is not so much as a valid Catholic Priest.
The wording of this particular Canon 2314 is specific – all apostate from the Christian Faith and all heretics and schismatics are excommunicated SPECIALI MODO, reserved to the Holy See.
I’ve thought the same regarding their their threats against the U.S. actually providing the pressure and excuse for Trump to abandon Ukraine, or pressure them to give territory to Russia in order to achieve “peace”.
Laura: Yes. Russia and China would be committing the sin of adventurism if they became more aggressive now. Committing suicide is not a good plan, since they have discovered their own weaknesses were greater than previously suspected. The fact that they backed away from interfering with our election shows that they are economically hurting, and they must buy time. They are now feigning strength and beating the war drum, intending to make concessions. We must not let them wriggle out.
I think they would want the West to make real concessions in return for Russia’s worthless promises. But they will try to frame it the opposite way, as if Russia and China are giving something of value in return for peace. Fast forward a year later, the West will be blamed for violating the “peace” deal, leading Russia and China to make even more outrageous demands. This is what happens when you play their game instead of drawing a hard line.
Technically, the communists will always win in both scenarios. Having Biden allows the communists continually deplete the NATO’s military strength. Having Trump allows the communists quickly consolidate the conquest of Ukraine to pave for the next attritional war to deplete NATO’s strength. The master plan of communists is always subversion, violence, multi-front, revolution, surprise.
Someone, I think possibly a Ukrainian journalist, made the following comment (or something to this effect) on X:
“Russia has an off-ramp for the war with Ukraine, but Putin does not… except for Trump.”
I don’t know if this is true, but I thought it was an interesting opinion— that Trump is Putin’s only chance at retaining power in light of a disastrous war campaign.
Who says Putin would lose power if he withdrew from Ukraine? It’s not like people can criticize him either way. Is peace worse than war? Whatever happens, Putin is likely to die in office.
Of course, NATO has been dismantling its military resources for 33 years and depleting what’s left for 20+ years, if you count from the 9/11 attack. It’s important to emphasise that this problem long predates Biden and the Ukraine war. If NATO countries had given nothing to Ukraine, they would be just as unprepared for war with Russia as they are today.
Also good point re Putin. Even if Russia loses, their propaganda machine can spin it as a victory to domestic audiences. Putin can declare mission accomplished, that Ukraine was successfully ‘de-nazified’ therefore Russian troops can withdraw. That’s the advantage of pushing multiple contradictory narratives at once.
Yes.
I think the attack on the US will have to be while Biden is still President. Partly to gain the advantage of winter, but also because a dictator like Putin or Stalin or Hitler isn’t a puppeteer pulling strings; he’s more like a surfer riding a wave. The Russian people will be much less frightened of the US, when Trump is President. Partly because Trump really does have a track record of “making a deal” to avoid catastrophic conflict, and has allied himself with pacifists like Kennedy. It is the Biden administration which has been supporting Ukraine. Also because Trump is not so strong a promoter of the LGBTQ agenda. The Russian people fear a radical LGBTQ agenda being forced on them by “economic imperialism”: such as, economic persecution of parents who resist sex-change surgery for their minor children. To Russians, Trump is a less ugly American, than Biden. So a Russian, is likelier to support a nuclear strike against a Biden regime than against a Trump regime.
The coming Trump administration is less scary to Russians, and yet stronger: secure borders, less “Wokism” in the military. Better to go nuclear against a weak regime that scares your people, than against a strong regime that does not scare your people.
The first strike might be immediately preceded by widespread disinformation that the Democrats plan a coup to prevent Trump from assuming office.
Jeff, I am just curious, did you move to Iceland? 🙂
No. I moved to a much warmer place in the USA.
So back to sunny California, I take it? Because who could resist those brilliant policies of Gavin Newsom! 😉
Just kidding. In all seriousness, please do not give us even a hint of what state you moved to. We want you to stay safe. As far as I’m concerned, you’re writing from sunny “Iceland.” 👍☺️
I am not in California. 🙃
Jeff, if Russia/China were going to launch some sort of attack before the inauguration, wouldn’t they already need to have crashed the US economy? What’s the timeline like? Economic crash on Jan. 18 and attack on the 19th (doubtful)? Or are there weeks or months or even years in between?
Anything can happen, but I do not think they are going to attack us that soon. They need to wait.
PS — I just learned than the US has increased the readiness of her Ohio Class SSBNs as of tonight. This reflects a tense nuclear posture, which should be maintained.
Putin/Russia Bluffing
Russians have it down to science and do it all the time going back not only to Crimea’s invasion in 2014 and Ukraine’s invasion in 2022, but also notoriously in 1945 when capturing Berlin singlehandedly and in 1962 during “Missiles of October” that is Cuban Missile Crisis.
It should be entered into our “Russian” semantic (at least on this discussion forum) that everything they do is a deception and a lie not only in war but also during peace. In fact, “bluffing” was always there when dealing with Soviet Union or now Russia. Russian military scientifically systematized bluffing into what they call “maskirovka”. Just like perestroika and peredyshka (pause), maskirovka should be a part of our lexicon.
In the winter and Spring of 1945, it was not Gen. Eisenhower’s and Marshal Montgomery’s plan to allow the Soviet Union to capture Berlin. Stalin was denying to all emissaries sent to Moscow that he had any interest or means to capture Berlin. Yet in the Spring of 1945 he directed Zhukov’s Belorussian front in the North and Konev’s Ukrainian front in the South to bypass all fortified cities in Western Poland/East Germany such as Breslau (Wroclaw now) or Poznan and concentrate all their attention on capturing Berlin. Stalin had no regard for human cost and had both Zhukov’s and Konev’s multiple armies compete for the honor of capturing Berlin first regardless of casualties. USSR losses were enormous: 81,116 dead or missing, 280,251 wounded 1,997 tanks, 2,108 artillery pieces, 917 aircraft. During this time the Brits were directed to capture Hanover in the North of Germany and Gen. Patton’s Third Army was ordered toward Bavaria and Czechoslovakia in the South. Patton was reportedly appalled to learn that the Red Army would take Berlin, feeling that the Soviet Union was a threat to the U.S. Army. Ultimately Patton was also stopped by clueless Eisenhower from reaching Prague, Czechoslovakia while Russian were capturing Berlin. Stalin’s perfect Maskirovka defeated Churchill, Roosvelt, and generals Patton, Eisenhower and Montgomery to the detriment of Europe and the rest of the world
Maskirovka was again at work in 1962 during the Cuban Missile Crisis.
The deception of hauling huge nuclear-capable SS-4 and SS-5 missiles to Havana was so perfect that nobody in the West or Russia (except for four generals and a colonel with good handwriting in Moscow) knew about it until witnesses on the ground in Cuba became suspicious and notified their relatives in the US. The White House and State Department were still not sure what was going at this point until the U-2 overflight, because once the information about the missiles began leaking out, Soviets started feeding Cubans disinformation thus compromising their credibility.
The maskirovka has survived the test of time, adapting to new times and technologies. Today it includes cyberattacks to disrupt communication systems, the deployment of decoys to mislead satellite reconnaissance or sending speeding Topol-M missile carriers on Moscow Beltway. Fake news is spread by multiple agents of influence to dupe unsuspecting public in the US.
https://www.abebooks.co.uk/signed-first-edition/Berlin-Downfall-1945-Beevor-Antony-Viking/20334343469/bd
https://strategicwisdom.substack.com/p/understanding-maskirovka-russia
The CCP doesn’t need you to download TikTok, Temu, Shein or NewsBreak anymore.
Because of Salt Typhoon…
“Any one of us and every one of us today is subject to the review by the Chinese Communist government of any cell phone conversation you have with anyone in America. Because they have access to every single one of our major telecommunications companies. They have broken in. They can read your texts, and they can hear your conversations,” Rounds said. “It’s just a matter of who they want to listen to and who they don’t.”
And it’s ongoing…
“Democratic Virginia Senator Mark Warner, chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee, corroborated Rounds’ claims, calling the breach “the worst telecom hack in our nation’s history.” Warner confirmed that Salt Typhoon has been embedded in networks such as AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile for over a year, exploiting outdated infrastructure and system vulnerabilities.
“The hackers reportedly gained access to law enforcement wiretap request logs, revealing ongoing investigations and targets. While the wiretap systems themselves remain uncompromised, Warner warned that the hackers’ persistence poses a grave threat to national security….
“Warner emphasized that removing Salt Typhoon will require extensive efforts, including replacing thousands of routers and switches across affected networks. “This is part of China’s ongoing strategy to infiltrate global telecom systems and exfiltrate vast amounts of data,” Warner said.
The CCP could literally be watching you reading this right now. Pretty outrageous:
https://dailycaller.com/2024/11/22/mike-rounds-chinese-hackers-spy-us-mobile-user/
https://www.tampafp.com/senator-warns-chinese-hackers-salt-typhoon/
There should have been an end quotation mark after “Warner said.” That last sentence before the links was my comment.
Let them read it and weep.
This is very bad, and not altogether surprising.
Well, that is not because the Chinese are so super smart and can develop anything, all they can do is find weak points. Instead, their administrators are based in Silicon Valley, in RTP, in almost every research facility, have infiltrated all technology and communications companies and are the cyber masters… right after the Russians. Because the Russians would like to be the super technocrats and commissioned by the socialist world ensemble WEF with the Cyber Polygon project and were thus given the opportunity to directly access software and crisis plans from western countries. But in Russia, too, there have always been problems with pure new development. But give them an established software program – they will perfect it. Because in communist countries there are still no time constraints like the stock exchange.
It is enough to look at who was involved in the Google development. We have been blessed with this search engine for almost 30 years, we think it’s wonderful to google, we put our fate in the hands of software whose algorithms almost nobody understands. Who has ever thought about why they see which results in which order? Who cares that they are spying on innocent citizens with their smart device? Where does the data go, how is it used and why is nobody interested in their gateway?
I think it was Sam Faddis who warned during one of the Committee on the Present Danger: China webinars that the CCP has an individual file on each and every American citizen (and probably a lot of “ordinary” illegals, too, ie not PLA/terrorists/etc). So presumably whatever they’re gleaning from Salt Typhoon, TikTok etc is going straight into all of our personal files. I have a bad feeling that the news articles above might be only the tip of the iceberg…
Although the CCP is fighting awfully hard to keep TikTok going, and Shein didn’t come out that long ago, so maybe not?
Birgit: I do care about being tracked when I search on the web, therefore I don’t use Google search. Further, Google search gives biased returns (i.e. leaning left). I personally use Brave search (there may be better, more private search engines, but I don’t know them).
Further, I don’t use Microsoft Edge, Google Chrome or Apple Safari because those browsers report back to their sponsors where I go. I understand Chromium on Linux doesn’t track users, and on Mac, Linux and Windows Firefox and Brave don’t follow users. But websites can read cookies, so I clean out cookies between websites and use private windows in the browsers to make that cleaning out automatic.
Most users either don’t know or don’t care about privacy.
@R.O. Brave is much better because it does not rely on Google like other search engines, but on its own index – do you know how their algorithm is structured? But it only turns off web tracking and web advertising – not the algorithms that are needed to create user profiles and categorize and catalog people.
(In this context, one should also think about why the USA excluded iPhones (I mean other Apple devices too) from the sanctions against Iran. Iran, either by itself or together with the Russians/Chinese, has been allowed to study Apple algorithms and is now turning against the West.)
In the GDR, we always looked around because of the directional microphones before we spoke to someone; there were hardly any telephones, but everyone knew about the tapped calls. In the Soviet Union, it was impossible to avoid the directional microphones/bugs, every little thing found its way into a person’s ID and work ID (scores were created from this information as early as the 1960s, just as is done in China today).
Every evil of todays technocracy has developed from a communist paper form.
We must be aware that everything we do on the Internet or with a smart device flows into channels that we do not know about, what happens to our data there and what the Chinese, who received the DNA from german PCR tests (if no objection was made) during the Corona period, may have already created in files in combination with other data they intercepted.
The war against dissidents always begins with a census, i.e. with data. The persecution of Jews during the Second World War would not have been possible without it. Back then it was only IBM – today, in my opinion, there is no Western company that does not transfer its data to China.
This is very likely to be true.
Birgit:
“(In this context, one should also think about why the USA excluded iPhones (I mean other Apple devices too) from the sanctions against Iran. Iran, either by itself or together with the Russians/Chinese, has been allowed to study Apple algorithms and is now turning against the West.)”
Interesting.
Like many creatives, I made Macintosh my main computer. When the “Obama long form birth certificate” was originally published on the White House portal, I had heard some grumbling that it was a fake, so I downloaded it and put it on my hard drive. Because I was a creative, I had Adobe Illustrator. I opened the file in Adobe Illustrator, and found it was exactly the way the detractors claimed about it. It was in several layers. I looked at each layer separately and recognized several clues that anyone who had done document scanning and OCR would recognize as fake. My curiosity slaked, I left the file on my hard drive, and forgot about it. Years later, I was asked about it, looked up the form presently on the web and found a single layer document very different from the document I had downloaded. I then looked to see if I still had the original document that I had downloaded, only to find what I had had been replaced by the document presently on the web. Somebody had violated my hard drive to make that exchange. Maybe a bot, maybe a person, I had been violated.
Second example: a teacher gave an interview the day after she survived the shooting in the Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida. I downloaded the transcript of the interview, and left it on my hard drive. Somebody violated my computer to replace that transcript with a news article from some time later.
Are people using Windows or Linux seeing the same things?
“…especially when it comes to the Chinese manufacture of precision machine tools and spare parts.” I had to laugh when I read this. The problem is not race, TSMC proves that, rather that most Chinese on the mainland are not incentivized to make quality products. That can be seen in multiple industries.
Turns out that much of the Russian products are also of low quality.
Add to that the massive corruption that is typical of communist societies…
The communist do not tolerate corruption per se, even among their own Party members, so then the corruption should be understood as the privileged status of the communists above that of the slaves, just to correct the understanding.
They are protected class of people, much like the Democrats protect themselves against justice and then punish, through their holding the key judiciary posts, those who oppose them – that is also not a true corruption but communist run privileged status of the masters and the slaves.
Corruption is more or less individualistic development but this is typical systemic communist preferential status…and only in very few cases the Party allows prosecution, when it is too obvious, but even then there is no true justice, and the slaves then receive still more of the tyrannical treatment afterwards….
Look at Pelosi for example – and Biden and his treason – and Clinton, and Soros and his evils – and nothing happens to them because they are protected communist class, and the Party protects its own, provided they do what the Party wants to be done = then it is the communist privilege,
The only time they are censured is when they use their own individualistic approach, which is always against the Party’s discipline, but that is seldom or never true justice. (Bob Menendez’s case in NJ for example and how long it took before they got him).
The communist Party is truly a criminal Mafia, the WORST ever criminal organized crime syndicate, state run, but ultimately run by the DEVIL himself, the Synagogue of Satan.
Off-topic, but of interest: https://redstate.com/jeffc/2024/11/23/doj-charges-dual-citizen-with-attempting-to-provide-material-support-to-isis-terrorists-n2182398
How much is bluffing, or signalling an act of desperation? Can Putin lose this war and survive?
On a related issue, the Chinese situation is going from bad to worse. How long can the CCP wait, seeing as they are at about the peak of their military might? According to the following speech, the Chinese version of the boomer generation are entering retirement, and they’re the ones who really drove the growth of the Chinese economy. Can Xi and the CCP afford to wait out a Trump presidency? Or will they act sooner (I don’t have an answer to that)?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAtUXoewlhI
I read a couple of years ago, I don’t remember where, that the Japanese spy service uncovered plans “for a nuclear Pearl Harbor” against the mainland U.S. Do they need to wait for a civil war or a collapsed economy in the U.S. for them to carry out those plans? Personally, I don’t think they need to wait for either of those.
One of the purposes of grey terror attacks prior to the main attacks on the West is to encourage economic and societal breakdown. There is also the release of the KGB blackmail files to destroy all trust in government. The purpose of all this is to minimize retaliatory strikes from the USA. If the U.S. collapses its ability to retaliate will be part of that collapse. Even if it is a partial collapse. They can launch a surprise attack at any time, with any level of softening up. Ideally, they want us maximally softened.
Jeff, I hesitate to ask, but are you able to share whose theory this was, that economic warfare would come first, before a kinetic attack? I’m interested to know. It does make a lot of sense to attack when your enemy is at its weakest, most disillusioned & most discouraged.
This was explained to me by GRU defector Col. Stanislav Lunev, who had seen Russia’s operational plans. He suggested that the use of Russian earthquake weapons, false flag nuclear attacks, etc., were exploitable only in terms of the chaos, confusion and collapse they would engender in advance of all-out war. This process, he said, would take months to unfold. I assume that divide-and-conquer narratives would be used to accelerate distrust of officials so that collapse could be accelerated, or including civil war scenarios.
Jeff, has anyone written anything suggesting that we might have a blackmail file on Putin?
Not that I know.
Oh, but wait, I thought you said (above) that this was not something you learned from Lunev? Sorry, what were you referring to above? I apologize if I’m just confused.
For reference, this was the exchange:
Jeff Nyquist Avatar
Jeff Nyquist
November 22, 2024
They economic collapse as an adjunct to surprise. If everything is fully functional surprise is more difficult to achieve. Also, they intend to exploit the resulting political instability for diversionary purposes.
K Avatar
K
November 22, 2024
And this is what Lunev has said? If they aren’t able to collapse the economy in time, would they most likely wait for a more opportune time? They’re incredibly patient, but they sure do have a lot riding on this, with all the operatives currently in the country.
Jeff Nyquist Avatar
Jeff Nyquist
November 22, 2024
No. This is not something I learned from Lunev.
Lunev never said what I wrote in this exact way, so your question threw me a little. There are two aspects of economic collapse and communist revolution. First, Marxist-Leninist theory teaches that capitalism will enter a crisis phase and will collapse, leading to the inevitable success of a global communist revolution. Collapse is the universal sign, visible to all communists, that the time has come to push the Revolution. Soviet military theory says that the Western imperialists, faced with economic collapse, might lash out at the socialist camp. Preempting imperialism in this situation is implied in Soviet military writings. To recapitulate: Moscow sees world war through the lens of economic collapse leading to social upheaval in the West and surprise nuclear attack. For some reason that was going through my mind when I first answered your question, and then, when you asked me the second time my mind switched back to my conversations with Lunev where he explained the time delay between a false flag Muslim nuclear attack on an American city and Russian ballistic missile launches. Why would there be a delay of months (which he described)? Because the urban population would panic and begin to flee the cities, collapsing the economy along with much of the defense infrastructure. This process would take months to unfold. So, on reflection, the idea I have of this partly comes from Lunev, though I also understood it in another way from Soviet military books. Sorry for answering so quickly and forgetting all the inputs that informed my thinking on this.
Thank you for this explanation. No worries, this was extremely helpful, so it’s probably better that it happened this way. So Lunev believed a “Muslim” (Soviet) terrorist would explode a suitcase nuke in an American city, which would lead to economic collapse over the ensuing months. Then the nuclear war would begin. I remember you mentioning these ideas in your 90’s video lectures on YouTube.
I think it would take at least two detonations in urban areas to make people leave the cities, maybe three. Maybe more even. It would take a lot to make me leave my home.
But it sounds like we lost track of a number of suitcases nukes. So they probably have enough, if they still work.
Yes, that’s one scenario he discussed.